While new large language models boast superior performance on technical benchmarks, the practical impact on day-to-day PM productivity is hitting a point of diminishing returns. The leap from one version to the next doesn't unlock significantly new capabilities for common PM workflows.
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AI agents will automate PM tasks like competitive analysis, user feedback synthesis, and PRD writing. This efficiency gain could shift the standard PM-to-developer ratio from 1:6-10 to 1:20-30, allowing PMs to cover a much broader product surface area and focus on higher-level strategy.
Generative AI's most immediate impact for product managers isn't just writing user stories. It's consolidating disparate information sources into a single interface, freeing up the cognitive load wasted on context switching and allowing for deeper strategic thinking.
Many teams wrongly focus on the latest models and frameworks. True improvement comes from classic product development: talking to users, preparing better data, optimizing workflows, and writing better prompts.
Simply offering the latest model is no longer a competitive advantage. True value is created in the system built around the model—the system prompts, tools, and overall scaffolding. This 'harness' is what optimizes a model's performance for specific tasks and delivers a superior user experience.
High productivity isn't about using AI for everything. It's a disciplined workflow: breaking a task into sub-problems, using an LLM for high-leverage parts like scaffolding and tests, and reserving human focus for the core implementation. This avoids the sunk cost of forcing AI on unsuitable tasks.
While generic AIs in tools like Notion are powerful, they struggle to identify the 'source of truth' in an infinite sea of documents. A purpose-built PM tool has a smaller, defined information domain, making it more effective and reliable for specialized tasks.
In the fast-paced world of AI, focusing only on the limitations of current models is a failing strategy. GitHub's CPO advises product teams to design for the future capabilities they anticipate. This ensures that when a more powerful model drops, the product experience can be rapidly upgraded to its full potential.
For consumer products like ChatGPT, models are already good enough for common queries. However, for complex enterprise tasks like coding, performance is far from solved. This gives model providers a durable path to sustained revenue growth through continued quality improvements aimed at professionals.
Product managers often hit cognitive fatigue from constantly re-formatting the same core information for different audiences (e.g., customer notes to PRD, PRD to Jira tickets, tickets to executive summaries). Automating this "translation" work with AI frees up mental energy for higher-value strategic tasks and prevents lazy, context-poor handoffs.
As AI automates synthesis and creation, the product manager's core value shifts from managing the development process to deeply contextualizing all available information (market, customer, strategy) to define the *right* product direction.