OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever suggests the path to AGI is not creating a pre-trained, all-knowing model, but an AI that can learn any task as effectively as a human. This reframes the challenge from knowledge transfer to creating a universal learning algorithm, impacting how such systems would be deployed.

The popular conception of AGI as a pre-trained system that knows everything is flawed. A more realistic and powerful goal is an AI with a human-like ability for continual learning. This system wouldn't be deployed as a finished product, but as a 'super-intelligent 15-year-old' that learns and adapts to specific roles.

The era of advancing AI simply by scaling pre-training is ending due to data limits. The field is re-entering a research-heavy phase focused on novel, more efficient training paradigms beyond just adding more compute to existing recipes. The bottleneck is shifting from resources back to ideas.

Pre-training on internet text data is hitting a wall. The next major advancements will come from reinforcement learning (RL), where models learn by interacting with simulated environments (like games or fake e-commerce sites). This post-training phase is in its infancy but will soon consume the majority of compute.

The popular concept of AGI as a static, all-knowing entity is flawed. A more realistic and powerful model is one analogous to a 'super intelligent 15-year-old'—a system with a foundational capacity for rapid, continual learning. Deployment would involve this AI learning on the job, not arriving with complete knowledge.

Richard Sutton, author of "The Bitter Lesson," argues that today's LLMs are not truly "bitter lesson-pilled." Their reliance on finite, human-generated data introduces inherent biases and limitations, contrasting with systems that learn from scratch purely through computational scaling and environmental interaction.

Previously, imitation learning required a single expert to collect perfectly consistent data, a major bottleneck. Diffusion models unlocked the ability to train on multi-modal data from various non-expert collectors, shifting the challenge from finding niche experts to building scalable data acquisition and processing systems.

The current focus on pre-training AI with specific tool fluencies overlooks the crucial need for on-the-job, context-specific learning. Humans excel because they don't need pre-rehearsal for every task. This gap indicates AGI is further away than some believe, as true intelligence requires self-directed, continuous learning in novel environments.

Companies like Character.ai aren't just building engaging products; they're creating social engineering mechanisms to extract vast amounts of human interaction data. This data is a critical resource, like a goldmine, used to train larger, more powerful models in the race toward AGI.