Counter-cyclical fundraising is powerful. When capital is scarce, the herd mentality subsides, reducing competition and allowing savvy investors and founders to secure better opportunities and terms. It's a contrarian approach that capitalizes on market lows when others are fearful.

True entrepreneurship often stems from a 'compulsion' to solve a problem, rather than a conscious decision to adopt a job title. This internal drive is what fuels founders through the difficult decisions, particularly when forced to choose between short-term financial engineering and long-term adherence to a mission of creating real value.

The best time to launch a company is at the bottom of a recession. Key inputs like talent and real estate are cheap, which enforces extreme financial discipline. If a business can survive this environment, it emerges as a lean, resilient "fighting machine" perfectly positioned to capture upside when the market recovers.

Many founders start companies simply because they want the title, not because they are obsessed with a mission. This is a critical mistake, as only a deep, personal passion for a problem can sustain a founder through the inevitable hardships of building a startup.

Beyond vision, the most exceptional founders can convince top talent to take pay cuts, persuade investors to fund them, and sign initial customers against all odds. This ability to conjure key resources is a primary indicator of success for early-stage investors to identify.

Entrepreneurs in bull markets often misattribute success to skill alone. A market downturn reveals the true difficulty of business, humbling even the most confident founders and forcing a reassessment of strategies that previously seemed foolproof. True resilience is tested when market conditions change.

To identify non-consensus ideas, analyze the founder's motivation. A founder with a deep, personal reason for starting their company is more likely on a unique path. Conversely, founders who "whiteboarded" their way to an idea are often chasing mimetic, competitive trends.

Great founders possess a deep-seated, non-financial motivation—like revenge against former rivals or redemption from a past failure. This "Count of Monte Cristo" drive allows them to persevere through extreme hardship and turn down lucrative but premature exits, a key trait VCs look for.

The most investable founders possess a rare, magnetic ability to conjure essential resources. They can convince top talent to take pay cuts, persuade investors to fund an unproven vision, and acquire their first crucial customers against all odds. This trifecta of materializing labor, capital, and customers is a powerful leading indicator of success.