Established SaaS firms avoid AI-native products because they operate at lower gross margins (e.g., 40%) compared to traditional software (80%+). This parallels brick-and-mortar retail's fatal hesitation with e-commerce, creating an opportunity for AI-native startups to capture the market by embracing different unit economics.

Data businesses have high fixed costs to create an asset, not variable per-customer costs. This model shows poor initial gross margins but scales exceptionally well as revenue grows against fixed COGS. Investors often misunderstand this, penalizing data companies for a fundamentally powerful economic model.

For a true AI-native product, extremely high margins might indicate it isn't using enough AI, as inference has real costs. Founders should price for adoption, believing model costs will fall, and plan to build strong margins later through sophisticated, usage-based pricing tiers rather than optimizing prematurely.

Standard SaaS pricing fails for agentic products because high usage becomes a cost center. Avoid the trap of profiting from non-use. Instead, implement a hybrid model with a fixed base and usage-based overages, or, ideally, tie pricing directly to measurable outcomes generated by the AI.

Satya Nadella predicts that SaaS disruption from AI will hit "high ARPU, low usage" companies hardest. He argues that products like Microsoft 365, with their high usage and low average revenue per user (ARPU), create a constant stream of data. This data graph is crucial for grounding AI agents, creating a defensive moat.

AI is making core software functionality nearly free, creating an existential crisis for traditional SaaS companies. The old model of 90%+ gross margins is disappearing. The future will be dominated by a few large AI players with lower margins, alongside a strategic shift towards monetizing high-value services.

Unlike SaaS where marginal costs are near-zero, AI companies face high inference costs. Abuse of free trials or refunds by non-paying users ("friendly fraud") directly threatens unit economics, forcing some founders to choke growth by disabling trials altogether to survive.

Unlike SaaS, where high gross margins are key, an AI company with very high margins likely isn't seeing significant use of its core AI features. Low margins signal that customers are actively using compute-intensive products, a positive early indicator.

Many AI startups prioritize growth, leading to unsustainable gross margins (below 15%) due to high compute costs. This is a ticking time bomb. Eventually, these companies must undertake a costly, time-consuming re-architecture to optimize for cost and build a viable business.