A proposed policy for China involves renting access to US-controlled chips (e.g., in Malaysian data centers) instead of selling them outright. This allows Chinese companies to benefit commercially while giving the US the ability to "turn off" the chips if they are misused for military purposes.

The decision to allow NVIDIA to sell powerful AI chips to China has a counterintuitive goal. The administration believes that by supplying China, it can "take the air out" of the country's own efforts to build a self-sufficient AI chip ecosystem, thereby hindering domestic firms like Huawei.

In a novel deal, the U.S. government granted NVIDIA export licenses for its H200 chips—advanced, but not cutting-edge—to markets like China. In return, NVIDIA pays a 25% fee on those sales. This establishes a new model where the government takes a direct revenue share from strategic tech companies in exchange for controlled market access.

The US has reversed its strict chip controls on China. Instead of a complete ban, it now allows NVIDIA to sell advanced H200 chips but with a 25% tax, effectively turning a geopolitical restriction into a significant revenue stream for the US Treasury, estimated at $5 billion annually.

Allowing H200 chip sales gives China significant AI compute capability. This short-term revenue boost for NVIDIA won't alter China's long-term policy of reducing reliance on foreign tech, effectively helping a competitor in a strategic race.

The US government revived the name "Operation Gatekeeper," once used for a 90s border project, for a new mission: cracking down on illegal AI chip smuggling to China. This demonstrates how semiconductors have become a national security priority on par with physical border control.

When NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang praises Donald Trump's 'pro-energy' stance, the subtext is a strategic appeal. He is lobbying for the freedom to sell high-performance GPUs to China, despite significant national security implications recognized by the Defense Department.

While NVIDIA laments lost revenue from export controls, those same policies blocked its primary Chinese competitor, Huawei, from accessing TSMC's advanced manufacturing. This prevented Huawei from launching a competing 7nm GPU, preserving NVIDIA's market dominance in China.

The US government's reversal on Nvidia H200 chip sales to China, now with a 25% tax, indicates a strategic shift. The policy is no longer a complete blockade but aims to keep China one generation of chips behind while generating significant tax revenue for the US.