When NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang praises Donald Trump's 'pro-energy' stance, the subtext is a strategic appeal. He is lobbying for the freedom to sell high-performance GPUs to China, despite significant national security implications recognized by the Defense Department.
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The pro-export argument for selling NVIDIA chips to China is strategic: flooding their market with good-enough, affordable chips makes it uneconomical for their domestic industry to compete. This fosters dependency on the U.S. ecosystem and can slow their independent technological progress.
The decision to allow NVIDIA to sell powerful AI chips to China has a counterintuitive goal. The administration believes that by supplying China, it can "take the air out" of the country's own efforts to build a self-sufficient AI chip ecosystem, thereby hindering domestic firms like Huawei.
The US has reversed its strict chip controls on China. Instead of a complete ban, it now allows NVIDIA to sell advanced H200 chips but with a 25% tax, effectively turning a geopolitical restriction into a significant revenue stream for the US Treasury, estimated at $5 billion annually.
If NVIDIA's CEO truly believed AGI was imminent, the most rational action would be to hoard his company's chips to build it himself. His current strategy of selling this critical resource to all players is the strongest evidence that he does not believe in a near-term superintelligence breakthrough.
Restricting sales to China is a catastrophic mistake that creates a protected, trillion-dollar market for domestic rivals like Huawei. This funds their R&D and global expansion with monopoly profits. To win the long-term AI race, American tech must be allowed to compete everywhere.
China's refusal to buy NVIDIA's export-compliant H20 chips is a strategic decision, not just a reaction to lower quality. It stems from concerns about embedded backdoors (like remote shutdown) and growing confidence in domestic options like Huawei's Ascend chips, signaling a decisive push for a self-reliant tech stack.
The US government's reversal on Nvidia H200 chip sales to China, now with a 25% tax, indicates a strategic shift. The policy is no longer a complete blockade but aims to keep China one generation of chips behind while generating significant tax revenue for the US.
Contrary to advocating for a full embargo, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang argues that selling advanced chips to China is strategically advantageous for the US. His thesis is that creating technological dependency on American hardware is a more powerful long-term lever than allowing China to become self-sufficient with domestic champions.
Despite Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's claim of being "100% out of China," the company is experiencing massive, unexplained business growth in neighboring Singapore and Malaysia. This suggests these countries may be acting as intermediary hubs to quietly funnel chips into the Chinese market, bypassing direct restrictions.
Jensen Huang powerfully reframes the "China hawk" identity, labeling it a "badge of shame." He argues that while proponents believe they are protecting the US, their rhetoric actively damages the "American Dream" brand, deterring the world's best talent from coming to America and thus undermining its greatest competitive advantage.