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  1. TBPN
  2. Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan
Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN · Dec 10, 2025

Fed cuts rates amid inflation, a bidding war for Warner Bros. heats up, and Nvidia's chip sales to China signal a major policy shift.

A $160M Smuggling Bust Reveals a Thriving Black Market for AI Chips

The "Operation Gatekeeper" bust uncovered a massive illegal AI chip smuggling operation into China. This indicates that prior to the recent policy change, a significant black market existed to circumvent US export controls, suggesting high, unmet demand that official numbers don't capture.

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan thumbnail

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN·2 months ago

US AI Chip Policy Shifts From Total Ban to Taxing Chinese Sales

The US government's reversal on Nvidia H200 chip sales to China, now with a 25% tax, indicates a strategic shift. The policy is no longer a complete blockade but aims to keep China one generation of chips behind while generating significant tax revenue for the US.

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan thumbnail

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN·2 months ago

Scoop-Driven Journalists Struggle When Independent Due to Subscription Model Demands

Journalists known for breaking a few big stories a year at established outlets find the independent model challenging. A subscription business demands consistent value, but the time required for sales, marketing, and administration detracts from the deep-dive reporting needed for major scoops, creating a difficult trade-off.

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan thumbnail

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN·2 months ago

Aggressive Fed Rate Cuts Can Paradoxically Increase Long-Term Borrowing Costs

A common misconception is that Fed rate cuts lower all borrowing costs. However, aggressive short-term cuts can signal future inflation, causing the 10-year Treasury yield to rise. This increases long-term rates for mortgages and corporate debt, counteracting the intended economic stimulus.

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan thumbnail

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN·2 months ago

Paramount's Hostile Warner Bid is a Pressure Tactic, Not a Direct Takeover

Paramount's tender offer for Warner isn't designed for a quick hostile takeover, as it's conditional on regulatory approval and Warner's board signing a friendly deal. This makes the offer a strategic move to pressure the board by demonstrating shareholder support for a better price, rather than a direct acquisition mechanism.

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan thumbnail

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN·2 months ago

Venture Fundraising Hits a Decade Low as Capital Reconsolidates to Established Firms

The AI boom is masking a broader trend: venture fundraising is at its lowest in 10 years. The 2021-22 period created an unsustainable number of new, small funds. Now, both LPs and founders are favoring established, long-term firms, causing capital to re-concentrate and the total number of funds to shrink.

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan thumbnail

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN·2 months ago

AI Faces Immediate Political Backlash Fueled by Its Own Apocalyptic Marketing

AI is experiencing a political backlash from day one, unlike social media's long "honeymoon" period. This is largely self-inflicted, as industry leaders like Sam Altman have used apocalyptic, "it might kill everyone" rhetoric as a marketing tool, creating widespread fear before the benefits are fully realized.

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan thumbnail

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN·2 months ago

Hybrid Cloud is Necessary for Real-Time AI Security Due to Bandwidth Limitations

Real-time AI security monitoring cannot rely solely on the cloud. Most locations lack the bandwidth to stream high-resolution video for cloud-based processing. Effective solutions require a hybrid approach, performing initial inference on-premise at the edge device before sending critical data to the cloud for deeper analysis.

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan thumbnail

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN·2 months ago

Red Hat Succeeds by Offering Long-Term Enterprise Support That Open Source Communities Neglect

The key to Red Hat's commercial open-source business is providing value the community doesn't. While open-source communities focus on rapid innovation, enterprises require long-term (e.g., 10-year) support and stability for the software they deploy—a paid service that Red Hat provides.

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan thumbnail

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN·2 months ago

The Fed's Rate Cut Suggests a 'Soft' Inflation Target to Preempt an Unemployment Crisis

The Federal Reserve cut rates despite inflation remaining above the 2% target. This action suggests a strategic shift towards tolerating slightly higher inflation—a "soft target" around 2.8%—to prevent the non-linear, snowballing effect of rising unemployment, which is much harder to reverse once it begins.

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan thumbnail

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN·2 months ago

Meta Can Win Consumer AI by Letting Competitors Innovate, Then Copying Successes

Meta benefits from a "do nothing, win" position in consumer-facing AI. The company can avoid costly R&D for new social features, knowing that any successful AI-driven application developed by a competitor can be quickly replicated and scaled across its massive user base, similar to how it handled Stories.

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan thumbnail

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN·2 months ago

Meta's New AI Talent Clashes with Execs Over Core Product vs. Frontier Model Focus

A strategic rift has emerged at Meta. Long-time executives like Chris Cox want the new AI team to leverage Instagram and Facebook data to improve core ads and feeds. However, new AI leader Alexander Wang is pushing to prioritize building a frontier model to compete with OpenAI and Google first.

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan thumbnail

Warner Deal Drags, H200 Exports Resume, Meta AI Chafe Gate | Joe Weisenthal, Ben Smith, Matt Hicks, Stephen Schwartz, Saam Motamedi, Nicholas Kelez, Antoine Tessier, Filip Kaliszan

TBPN·2 months ago