Countering the common narrative, Anduril views AI in defense as the next step in Just War Theory. The goal is to enhance accuracy, reduce collateral damage, and take soldiers out of harm's way. This continues a historical military trend away from indiscriminate lethality towards surgical precision.
It's futile to debate *whether* transformative technologies like AI and robotics should be developed. If a technology offers a decisive advantage, it *will* be built, regardless of the risks. The only rational approach is to accept its inevitability and focus all energy on managing its implementation to stay ahead.
Leaders must resist the temptation to deploy the most powerful AI model simply for a competitive edge. The primary strategic question for any AI initiative should be defining the necessary level of trustworthiness for its specific task and establishing who is accountable if it fails, before deployment begins.
Claims by AI companies that their tech won't be used for direct harm are unenforceable in military contracts. Militaries and nation-states do not follow commercial terms of service; the procurement process gives the government complete control over how technology is ultimately deployed.
As AI evolves from single-task tools to autonomous agents, the human role transforms. Instead of simply using AI, professionals will need to manage and oversee multiple AI agents, ensuring their actions are safe, ethical, and aligned with business goals, acting as a critical control layer.
Leading AI companies, facing high operational costs and a lack of profitability, are turning to lucrative government and military contracts. This provides a stable revenue stream and de-risks their portfolios with government subsidies, despite previous ethical stances against military use.
Avoid deploying AI directly into a fully autonomous role for critical applications. Instead, begin with a human-in-the-loop, advisory function. Only after the system has proven its reliability in a real-world environment should its autonomy be gradually increased, moving from supervised to unsupervised operation.
The most effective use of AI isn't full automation, but "hybrid intelligence." This framework ensures humans always remain central to the decision-making process, with AI serving in a complementary, supporting role to augment human intuition and strategy.
The classic "trolley problem" will become a product differentiator for autonomous vehicles. Car manufacturers will have to encode specific values—such as prioritizing passenger versus pedestrian safety—into their AI, creating a competitive market where consumers choose a vehicle based on its moral code.
The benchmark for AI reliability isn't 100% perfection. It's simply being better than the inconsistent, error-prone humans it augments. Since human error is the root cause of most critical failures (like cyber breaches), this is an achievable and highly valuable standard.
The war in Ukraine has evolved from a traditional territorial conflict into a "robot war," with drones dominating the front lines. This real-world battlefield is accelerating innovation at an "unbelievable" pace, driving new solutions for secure communications and autonomous targeting, providing critical lessons for US drone strategy.