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Counterintuitively, the compliance burden for an IPO increases dramatically with revenue. Companies over $1B face rigorous PCOB compliance, requiring years of building out teams and processes, unlike pre-revenue firms that can go public more simply.
Contrary to the prevailing wisdom of staying private as long as possible, VC Keith Rabois counsels his portfolio companies to pursue an IPO once they hit ~$50 million in predictable revenue. He believes the benefits of being public outweigh the costs much earlier than most founders think.
The traditional IPO exit is being replaced by a perpetual secondary market for elite private companies. This new paradigm provides liquidity for investors and employees without the high costs and regulatory burdens of going public. This shift fundamentally alters the venture capital lifecycle, enabling longer private holding periods.
EquipmentShare's IPO was "effortless" because it checked all the boxes for the current market: billions in revenue, high growth at that scale (47%), and profitability. This success contrasts sharply with the struggles of smaller tech companies, defining the new standard for a smooth IPO.
Venture capitalist Bruce Booth explains that bankers, lawyers, audit firms, and VCs all have strong financial incentives for a company to go public. This creates systemic pressure that may not align with the company's best long-term interests.
For high-growth companies, reaching a $100M ARR milestone no longer automatically triggers IPO plans. With abundant private capital, many founders now see going public as an unnecessary burden, preferring to avoid SEC reporting and gain liquidity through private growth rounds.
Well-intentioned regulations like Sarbanes-Oxley increased the burden of going public, causing companies to stay private longer. An unintended consequence is that the bulk of wealth creation now occurs in private markets, accessible only to accredited investors and excluding the general public.
A new class of company operates between private and public markets, accessing vast, public-style capital without the required corporate governance. This allows them to scale to immense valuations before developing a viable business model, creating novel risks.
Beyond high compliance costs, companies are deterred from going public by the constant threat of "vexatious" class-action lawsuits following any stock dip and the weaponization of shareholder proposals, which makes managing annual general meetings a significant burden. These factors discourage the transition to public markets.
The trend of companies staying private longer and raising huge late-stage rounds isn't just about VC exuberance. It's a direct consequence of a series of regulations (like Sarbanes-Oxley) that made going public extremely costly and onerous. As a result, the private capital markets evolved to fill the gap, fundamentally changing venture capital.
Unlike the US market which favors billion-dollar revenues, the Hong Kong stock exchange allows smaller AI companies to IPO with just $60-80M in revenue. This offers public investors high-risk, high-reward access to fast-growing tech companies, similar to late-stage venture capital.