Prominent investor Keith Rabois claims that payments company Airwallex, despite its Singapore HQ, has significant operations and legal obligations in China. He alleges this structure requires them to assist with CCP espionage by providing sensitive financial data from US customers, including AI labs and defense contractors.

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A board member's role includes flagging strategic risks, including geopolitical exposure that could drastically limit future acquirers or prevent an IPO. Advising a CEO to relocate teams from a high-risk country is not operational meddling, but a core governance duty.

The US government revived the name "Operation Gatekeeper," once used for a 90s border project, for a new mission: cracking down on illegal AI chip smuggling to China. This demonstrates how semiconductors have become a national security priority on par with physical border control.

Prediction markets like Polymarket operate in a regulatory gray area where traditional insider trading laws don't apply. This creates a loophole for employees to monetize confidential information (e.g., product release dates) through bets, effectively leaking corporate secrets and creating a new espionage risk for companies.

The valuation gap between Airwallex ($8B) and Ramp ($32B), which have comparable revenues, demonstrates a tangible "Asia discount." Investors significantly mark down companies with a strong presence or founding nexus in Asia due to perceived geopolitical and data security risks.

When the U.S. government becomes a major shareholder, it can create significant challenges for a company's international operations. Foreign governments and customers may view the company with suspicion, raising concerns about data privacy, security, and its role as a potential tool of U.S. policy.

Despite a potential US ownership deal, TikTok remains a national security risk because the core algorithm will still be licensed from China. Control over the information flow to Americans is the real issue, not data storage location, making the deal a superficial fix.

China's refusal to buy NVIDIA's export-compliant H20 chips is a strategic decision, not just a reaction to lower quality. It stems from concerns about embedded backdoors (like remote shutdown) and growing confidence in domestic options like Huawei's Ascend chips, signaling a decisive push for a self-reliant tech stack.

An emerging geopolitical threat is China weaponizing AI by flooding the market with cheap, efficient large language models (LLMs). This strategy, mirroring their historical dumping of steel, could collapse the pricing power of Western AI giants, disrupting the US economy's primary growth engine.

Z.AI and other Chinese labs recognize Western enterprises won't use their APIs due to trust and data concerns. By open-sourcing models, they bypass this barrier to gain developer adoption, global mindshare, and brand credibility, viewing it as a pragmatic go-to-market tactic rather than an ideological stance.

The business model for powerful, free, open-source AI models from Chinese companies may not be direct profit. Instead, it could be a strategy to globally distribute an AI trained on a specific worldview, competing with American models on an ideological rather than purely commercial level.