The valuation gap between Airwallex ($8B) and Ramp ($32B), which have comparable revenues, demonstrates a tangible "Asia discount." Investors significantly mark down companies with a strong presence or founding nexus in Asia due to perceived geopolitical and data security risks.

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Ultra-late-stage companies like Ramp and Stripe represent a new category: "private as public." They could be public but choose not to be. Investors should expect returns similar to mid-cap public stocks (e.g., 30-40% YoY), not the 2-3x multiples of traditional venture rounds. The asset class is different, so the return profile must be too.

While international markets have more volatility and lower trust, their biggest advantage is inefficiency. Many basic services are underdeveloped, creating enormous 'low-hanging fruit' opportunities. Providing a great, reliable service in a market where few things work well can create immense and durable value.

Stripe data shows the median top AI company operates in 55 countries by its first year, double the rate of SaaS companies from three years prior. This borderless nature from day one requires financial infrastructure that can immediately support global payment methods and compliance.

Geopolitical shifts mean a company's country of origin heavily influences its market access and tariff burdens. This "corporate nationality" creates an uneven playing field, where a business's location can instantly become a massive advantage or liability compared to competitors.

Wagner found a derivative in an Asian market trading at 10-20% of its intrinsic value. This extreme mispricing is a direct result of huge, persistent, and structural shorting demand from quant funds and pod shops, creating a rare asymmetric opportunity for those willing to take the other side.

Perceived Geopolitical Risk Creates a 75% 'Asia Discount' for Fintechs | RiffOn