The United States' greatest strategic advantage over competitors like China is its vast ecosystem of over 50 wealthy, advanced, allied nations. China has only one treaty ally: North Korea. Weakening these alliances through punitive actions is a critical foreign policy error that erodes America's primary source of global strength.

America's unpredictable, "law of the jungle" approach doesn't embolden adversaries like Russia or China, who already operate this way. Instead, it forces traditional allies (Canada, Europe, Japan) to hedge their bets, decouple their interests, and reduce reliance on an unreliable United States for upholding international law.

While publicly announcing a trade truce with China, the Trump administration simultaneously signed deals with other Asian nations to diversify supply chains and bolster defense partnerships, effectively preparing for future confrontation with Beijing.

A country's ability to rely on allies for strategic production is undermined by conflicting internal policies. For example, the U.S. seeking shipbuilding cooperation from South Korea while its immigration agents raid a Korean-owned factory sends mixed signals and erodes trust.

While the U.S. talks about pushing back against China, its military position in East Asia has declined relative to China's rapid buildup. Unlike during the Cold War, U.S. leaders haven't committed the necessary resources or explained the stakes to the American public.

If a leader concludes that historic allies are acting against their nation's interests (e.g., prolonging a war), they may see those alliances as effectively void. This perception of betrayal becomes the internal justification for dramatic, unilateral actions like dismantling NATO or seizing strategic assets.

The administration's aggressive, unilateral actions are pushing European nations toward strategic autonomy rather than cooperation. This alienates key partners and fundamentally undermines the 'Allied Scale' strategy of building a collective economic bloc to counter adversaries like China.

President Xi Jinping used a phone call with President Trump not just for bilateral issues, but to strategically signal displeasure with Japan's hawkish stance on Taiwan. This "shadow play" diplomacy shows China leveraging its relationship with the U.S. to indirectly manage and warn other nations, making the U.S. a channel for its geopolitical messaging.

The Trump administration's renewed focus on Latin America, as detailed in its national security strategy, could inadvertently signal a reduced US geopolitical focus on China's sphere of influence. Beijing may interpret this as an opportunity to play the long game on Taiwan, avoiding immediate retaliation over Venezuela.