To gain corporate buy-in for its security agenda, Japan's government combines protective measures like export controls with promotional incentives like R&D support. This 'run faster' strategy reframes national security regulations from being a restrictive cost into a direct opportunity for innovation and expansion in strategic sectors.

Related Insights

Instead of a total ban, a more strategic approach is to "slow ball" an adversary like China by providing them with just enough technology. This keeps them dependent on foreign suppliers and disincentivizes the massive state investment required to develop their own superior, independent solutions.

By framing competition with China as an existential threat, tech leaders create urgency and justification for government intervention like subsidies or favorable trade policies. This transforms a commercial request for financial support into a matter of national security, making it more compelling for policymakers.

The concept of 'weaponized interdependence,' highlighted by China's use of export controls, is driving Asian nations like Japan, India, and South Korea to implement economic security acts. This shifts investment toward domestic supply chains in critical minerals, semiconductors, and defense, creating state-backed opportunities.

A METI official outlines a philosophy of 'peace through economic strength.' The objective is not to develop economic statecraft to weaken adversaries, but rather to enhance Japan's own technological superiority and supply chain autonomy. This strength, they believe, enables Japan to maintain better relationships and engage more freely in the global market.

The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) categorizes sectors to apply targeted policies. 'Green' areas have lost supply chain autonomy and require diversification. 'Blue' areas possess technological superiority and need control (e.g., export controls). 'Red' areas face disruptive innovation and demand proactive strategic investment.

Unlike military intelligence, the information needed for economic security—identifying strategic sectors and necessary actions—comes from businesses, researchers, and academia. Recognizing this, Japan's METI is building a global 'community' to ensure a flow of high-quality, real-world intelligence to inform its policies, as this expertise is not found inside government.

Under 'Sanae-nomics,' Japan's growth strategy is pivoting towards sectors linked to national security. This includes not only defense and heavy industries but also advanced technology like AI, robotics, and quantum computing, as well as energy and food security. These areas are expected to be core beneficiaries of the new administration's industrial policy.

For years, Japan was a value trap: cheap companies with poor governance hoarded cash. The game changed when Prime Minister Shinzo Abe introduced stewardship and governance codes, creating a top-down, government-backed catalyst for companies to finally improve capital allocation and unlock shareholder value.

Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) defines its economic security strategy through two core pillars. 'Strategic indispensability' means possessing superior, leverageable technology that others need. 'Autonomy' refers to having resilient supply chains for critical goods like energy and food. This dual framework guides their national policy.

To prevent businesses from forgetting supply chain risks after a crisis subsides, Japan's METI employs a two-pronged approach. They use a 'bottom-up' method of continuously sharing case studies with operational teams and a 'top-down' strategy of urging CEOs and boards to integrate geopolitical risk into core business decisions, much like ESG standards.