The belief that a single, god-level foundation model would dominate has proven false. Horowitz points to successful AI applications like Cursor, which uses 13 different models. This shows that value lies in the complex orchestration and design at the application layer, not just in having the largest single model.

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The AI market is becoming "polytheistic," with numerous specialized models excelling at niche tasks, rather than "monotheistic," where a single super-model dominates. This fragmentation creates opportunities for differentiated startups to thrive by building effective models for specific use cases, as no single model has mastered everything.

Simply offering the latest model is no longer a competitive advantage. True value is created in the system built around the model—the system prompts, tools, and overall scaffolding. This 'harness' is what optimizes a model's performance for specific tasks and delivers a superior user experience.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman now publicly hedges that winning requires the best models, product, *and* infrastructure. This marks a significant industry-wide shift away from the earlier belief that a sufficiently advanced model would make product differentiation irrelevant. The focus is now on the complete, cohesive user experience.

Rather than committing to a single LLM provider like OpenAI or Gemini, Hux uses multiple commercial models. They've found that different models excel at different tasks within their app. This multi-model strategy allows them to optimize for quality and latency on a per-workflow basis, avoiding a one-size-fits-all compromise.

Enterprises will shift from relying on a single large language model to using orchestration platforms. These platforms will allow them to 'hot swap' various models—including smaller, specialized ones—for different tasks within a single system, optimizing for performance, cost, and use case without being locked into one provider.

Initially, even OpenAI believed a single, ultimate 'model to rule them all' would emerge. This thinking has completely changed to favor a proliferation of specialized models, creating a healthier, less winner-take-all ecosystem where different models serve different needs.

The initial AI rush for every company to build proprietary models is over. The new winning strategy, seen with firms like Adobe, is to leverage existing product distribution by integrating multiple best-in-class third-party models, enabling faster and more powerful user experiences.

Despite the power of large foundation models from OpenAI and Anthropic, specialized AI companies like Cursor are succeeding. This suggests the AI market is a rapidly expanding pie, not a winner-take-all environment, where "transcendent" companies with superior product execution can capture significant value.

The common critique of AI application companies as "GPT wrappers" with no moat is proving false. The best startups are evolving beyond using a single third-party model. They are using dozens of models and, crucially, are backward-integrating to build their own custom AI models optimized for their specific domain.

Block's CTO believes the key to building complex applications with AI isn't a single, powerful model. Instead, he predicts a future of "swarm intelligence"—where hundreds of smaller, cheaper, open-source agents work collaboratively, with their collective capability surpassing any individual large model.