Viral posts comparing nominal prices from 1971 to today are misleading. The actual, inflation-adjusted data is more damning: home costs have doubled and healthcare has quintupled relative to a mere 20-30% rise in real family income, highlighting a targeted, systemic problem.

Unlike 2022, when stimulus savings allowed consumers to absorb price hikes, the financially depleted middle class now lacks the ability to pay more. This forces them to push back on price increases, creating significant consumer resistance that acts as a powerful, albeit painful, check on a new round of inflation from tariffs or other cost pressures.

Inflation from a supply disruption, like an oil price spike, will eventually fade. It only becomes persistent and embedded in the economy if governments try to 'help' consumers pay for higher costs with stimulus checks, which increases the broad money supply.

While inflation erodes the purchasing power of wages, it simultaneously increases the value of assets like stocks and real estate. This dynamic creates a regressive wealth transfer where asset-poor earners lose ground while the asset-rich are hedged or even benefit financially.

Despite official CPI averaging under 2% from 2010-2020, the actual cost of major assets like homes and stocks exploded. This disconnect shows that government inflation data fails to reflect the reality of eroding purchasing power, which is a key driver of public frustration.

Contrary to narratives about excess demand, the recent inflationary period was primarily driven by supply-side shocks from COVID-related disruptions. Evidence, such as the New York Fed's supply disruption index accurately predicting inflation's trajectory, supports this view over a purely demand-driven explanation.

Pessimism on inflation is warranted because common analysis misses key factors. Household inflation expectations are becoming unanchored, the overall economy is tight based on the output gap (not just unemployment), and the "new normal" is a state of recurring supply shocks, not a return to pre-shock stability.

Official inflation metrics may be low, but public perception remains negative because wages haven't kept pace with the *cumulative* price increases since the pandemic. Consumers feel a "permanent price increase" on essential goods like groceries, making them feel poorer even if the rate of new inflation has slowed.

Inflation is framed not just as rising prices, but as a form of secretive theft. Since only a small percentage of Americans own significant assets that appreciate with inflation, the policy mechanistically funnels wealth upward from the working and middle classes to the top 10%, creating vast, systemic inequality.