Before replacing human workers, AI expands the total addressable market by making services economically viable for previously unserved segments. For instance, Intercom customers now offer AI support to their free users, something they could never afford with human agents.

Beyond displacing current workers, AI will lead to hiring "abatement," where companies proactively eliminate roles from their hiring plans altogether. This is a subtle but profound workforce shift, as entire job categories may vanish from the market before employees can be retrained.

While AI's current impact on jobs is minimal, the *anticipation* of its future capabilities is creating a speculative drag on the labor market. Management teams, aware of hiring and firing costs, are becoming cautious about adding staff whose roles might be automated within 6-12 months.

Marc Benioff explicitly stated a headcount reduction from 9,000 to 5,000 in customer support due to AI agents. He then detailed applying the same agentic AI to sales and marketing, implying a similar workforce reduction is planned for those departments.

When faced with 1,000 support emails daily and a 12-person team, StackBlitz integrated Parahelp, an AI support tool. The AI agent handled 90% of tickets automatically, allowing the company to manage hyper-growth without hiring a 50-100 person support team, thus avoiding associated complexity and cost.

Companies aren't using AI to cut staff but to handle routine tasks, allowing agents to manage complex, emotional issues. This transforms the agent's role from transactional support to high-value relationship management, requiring more empathy and problem-solving skills, not less.

The AI job impact conversation has moved beyond tech. Walmart's CEO expects AI to change every job and plans for flat headcount over the next three years, even while growing the business. This signals a new mainstream corporate playbook focused on productivity over job creation.

While high-profile layoffs make headlines, the more widespread effect of AI is that companies are maintaining or reducing headcount through attrition rather than active firing. They are leveraging AI to grow their business without expanding their workforce, creating a challenging hiring environment for new entrants.

Companies are preemptively slowing hiring for roles they anticipate AI will automate within two years. This "quiet hiring freeze" avoids the cost of hiring, training, and then laying off staff. It is a subtle but powerful leading indicator of labor market disruption, happening long before official unemployment figures reflect the shift.