Founders often perfect their product (the dam) without validating the underlying human motivation (the river). When the product fails, they tweak the product instead of questioning if they've built on a real, pre-existing customer need. Rivers must be found; they cannot be created.
Successful startups tap into organic customer needs that already exist—a 'pull' from the market. In contrast, 'conjuring demand' involves a founder trying to convince a market of a new worldview without prior evidence. This is a much harder and less reliable path to building a business.
Founders mistakenly treat their product idea as fixed while searching for customers. The correct mindset is the reverse: customer needs are a fixed reality. Your product is the variable you must shape to fit that reality, not the other way around.
Large companies often identify an opportunity, create a solution based on an unproven assumption, and ship it without validating market demand. This leads to costly failures when the product doesn't solve a real user need, wasting millions of dollars and significant time.
An investor with a technology background shares his 'bitter lesson': customer obsession trumps technical perfection. The efficiency or beauty of the underlying code is irrelevant to users. All that matters is whether the product solves a significant pain point and how well that solution is communicated.
When a startup finally uncovers true customer demand, their existing product, built on assumptions, is often the wrong shape. The most common pattern is for these startups to burn down their initial codebase and rebuild from scratch to perfectly fit the newly discovered demand.
This reframes the fundamental goal of a startup away from a supply-side focus (building) to a demand-side focus (discovery). The market's unmet need is the force that pulls a company and its product into existence, not the other way around.
For deep tech startups aiming for commercialization, validating market pull isn't a downstream activity—it's a prerequisite. Spending years in a lab without first identifying a specific customer group and the critical goal they are blocked from achieving is an enormous, avoidable risk.
Believing you must *convince* the market leads to a dangerous product strategy: building a feature-rich platform to persuade buyers. This delays sales, burns capital, and prevents learning. A "buyer pull" approach focuses on building the minimum product needed to solve one pre-existing problem.
Using a child's toy analogy, demand is a pre-existing hole (e.g., a star shape) and your product is the block. Founders fail when they build a block and then search for a hole it fits. The real job is to first deeply understand the shape of the hole, then craft a block that fits it perfectly.
A common startup failure is building a solution for a problem that doesn't have meaningful pre-existing demand. This happens when founders start with a product vision instead of observing market pull. They arrive with a fully-built 'submarine' but find no 'water,' looking foolish for not checking for demand first.