Traditional software automated standardized processes but struggled with complex human interactions like call center support. Generative AI's ability to understand natural language allows software to automate these nuanced tasks, dramatically expanding the total addressable market by tackling problems that were previously impossible to solve with code.
The primary economic incentive driving AI development is not replacing software, but automating the vastly larger human labor market. This includes high-skill jobs like accountants, lawyers, and auditors, representing a multi-trillion dollar opportunity that dwarfs the SaaS industry and dictates where investment will flow.
Companies like Sierra can't justify a 100x ARR valuation by targeting the existing software market (e.g., $8B Service Cloud). The bet is that they will capture a significant portion of the much larger human labor market ($200B+ for support agents). This represents a fundamental transition of spend from human capital to software.
The economic incentive for VCs funding AI is replacing human labor, a $13 trillion market in the US alone. This dwarfs the $300 billion SaaS market, revealing the ultimate goal is automating knowledge work, not just building software.
In the current market, AI companies see explosive growth through two primary vectors: attaching to the massive AI compute spend or directly replacing human labor. Companies merely using AI to improve an existing product without hitting one of these drivers risk being discounted as they lack a clear, exponential growth narrative.
The narrative of AI destroying jobs misses a key point: AI allows companies to 'hire software for a dollar' for tasks that were never economical to assign to humans. This will unlock new services and expand the economy, creating demand in areas that previously didn't exist.
Instead of focusing on foundational models, software engineers should target the creation of AI "agents." These are automated workflows designed to handle specific, repetitive business chores within departments like customer support, sales, or HR. This is where companies see immediate value and are willing to invest.
Traditional software required deep vertical focus because building unique UIs for each use case was complex. AI agents solve this. Since the interface is primarily a prompt box, a company can serve a broad horizontal market from the beginning without the massive overhead of building distinct, vertical-specific product experiences.
Previously, building 'just a feature' was a flawed strategy. Now, an AI feature that replaces a human role (e.g., a receptionist) can command a high enough price to be a viable company wedge, even before it becomes a full product.
Traditionally, service businesses lack scalability for VC. But AI startups are adopting a 'manual first, automate later' approach. They deliver high-touch services to gain traction, while simultaneously building AI to automate 90%+ of the work, eventually achieving software-like margins and growth.
Unlike traditional software that supports workflows, AI can execute them. This shifts the value proposition from optimizing IT budgets to replacing entire labor functions, massively expanding the total addressable market for software companies.