Judging leaders requires a dual framework. One must understand the world as it *is*—a messy place of power dynamics and flawed humans—while also aspiring to how it *ought* to be. Ignoring either perspective leads to a flawed analysis, creating either cynicism or naivety.

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Ambitious leaders are often "time optimists," underestimating constraints. This leads to frustration. The 'realistic optimist' framework resolves this tension by holding two ideas at once: an optimistic, forward-looking vision for the future, and a realistic, grounded assessment of present-day constraints like time and resources. Your vision guides you, while reality grounds your plan.

There's a fundamental difference in how people build influence. Manipulative "political operators" collect allies for short-term, transactional gain. In contrast, genuine leaders invest in building deep, transformational relationships based on mutual trust and respect.

To accurately assess a leader's actions, especially an unconventional one, avoid asking 'What would it mean if I did that?' Instead, ask 'What does it mean that *they* are doing that?' This helps separate your personal behavioral standards from their actual intent and worldview.

Viewing politicians as athletes in a game reveals their true motivation: gaining and retaining power. This framework explains seemingly inconsistent actions, like flip-flopping, as strategic plays for short-term public sentiment rather than reflections of moral conviction or long-term vision.

Holding out for morally perfect leaders is naive and paralyzing. The reality of geopolitics is a "knife fight" where leaders inevitably make decisions that result in death. Progress requires working with these flawed individuals rather than disengaging over past actions.

A leader's most difficult but necessary task is to be truthful, even when it hurts. Avoiding hard realities by "fluffing around" creates a false sense of security and prevents problems from being solved. Delivering honest feedback empathetically is critical for progress and building trust, distinguishing effective leaders from ineffective ones.

This theological model offers a three-part structure for leadership: the Prophet speaks truth, the Priest shows mercy, and the King provides direction. Leaders should consciously develop all three aspects to avoid imbalances, such as being all "take the hill" without caring for the team.

Leaders who immediately frame issues through a lens of core values, such as constitutionality, build more trust than those who calculate a politically palatable position. The public can detect inauthenticity, making a principles-first approach more effective long-term, even if it seems risky in the short term. Leaders should bring people along to their principled position.

Top leaders excel by distilling complex situations into clear directives, grounding their authenticity in personal values and stories, and comfortably navigating the inherent contradictions of leadership, such as being both patient and urgent.

Understanding political behavior is simplified by recognizing the primary objective is not ideology but accumulating and holding power. Actions that seem hypocritical are often rational calculations toward this singular goal, including telling 'horrific lies.'

Analyze Leaders by Balancing the "Is" of Realpolitik with the "Ought" of Moral Ideals | RiffOn