Frame AI independence like self-driving car levels: 'Human-in-the-loop' (AI as advisor), 'Human-on-the-loop' (AI acts with supervision), and 'Human-out-of-the-loop' (full autonomy). This tiered model allows organizations to match the level of AI independence to the specific risk of the task.

AI's impact on coding is unfolding in stages. Phase 1 was autocomplete (Copilot). We're now in Phase 2, defined by interactive agents where developers orchestrate tasks with prompts. Phase 3 will be true automation, where agents independently handle complete, albeit simpler, development workflows without direct human guidance.

A practical definition of AGI is an AI that operates autonomously and persistently without continuous human intervention. Like a child gaining independence, it would manage its own goals and learn over long periods—a capability far beyond today's models that require constant prompting to function.

As AI evolves from single-task tools to autonomous agents, the human role transforms. Instead of simply using AI, professionals will need to manage and oversee multiple AI agents, ensuring their actions are safe, ethical, and aligned with business goals, acting as a critical control layer.

Instead of a single "AGI" event, AI progress is better understood in three stages. We're in the "powerful tools" era. The next is "powerful agents" that act autonomously. The final stage, "autonomous organizations" that outcompete human-led ones, is much further off due to capability "spikiness."

The terminology for AI tools (agent, co-pilot, engineer) is not just branding; it shapes user expectations. An "engineer" implies autonomous, asynchronous problem-solving, distinct from a "co-pilot" that assists or an "agent" that performs single-shot tasks. This positioning is critical for user adoption.

Frame AI agent development like training an intern. Initially, they need clear instructions, access to tools, and your specific systems. They won't be perfect at first, but with iterative feedback and training ('progress over perfection'), they can evolve to handle complex tasks autonomously.

While language models are becoming incrementally better at conversation, the next significant leap in AI is defined by multimodal understanding and the ability to perform tasks, such as navigating websites. This shift from conversational prowess to agentic action marks the new frontier for a true "step change" in AI capabilities.

The evolution of Tesla's Full Self-Driving offers a clear parallel for enterprise AI adoption. Initially, human oversight and frequent "disengagements" (interventions) will be necessary. As AI agents learn, the rate of disengagement will drop, signaling a shift from a co-pilot tool to a fully autonomous worker in specific professional domains.