The military regime uses a counter-intuitive two-pronged strategy. It sends waves of poorly trained conscripts as cannon fodder to exhaust rebel ammunition, a primitive tactic. Simultaneously, it employs advanced Chinese UAVs and motorized paragliders to terrorize civilian areas, a modern innovation.
Warfare has evolved to a "sixth domain" where cyber becomes physical. Mass drone swarms act like a distributed software attack, requiring one-to-many defense systems analogous to antivirus software, rather than traditional one-missile-per-target defenses which cannot scale.
The widely condemned election is not for public legitimacy but serves as a potential internal political mechanism. Many in the military brass consider their leader, Min Aung Hlaing, to be inept and may use the election's outcome as a pretext to displace him and install new leadership.
The conflict in Ukraine exposed the vulnerability of expensive, "exquisite" military platforms (like tanks) to inexpensive technologies (like drones). This has shifted defense priorities toward cheap, mass-producible, "attritable" systems. This fundamental change in product and economics creates a massive opportunity for startups to innovate outside the traditional defense prime model.
The proliferation of drones is fueled by consumer electronics. Companies like Qualcomm and Nvidia provide powerful "system on a chip" components and even reference designs, making it easy for non-state actors and smaller nations to build and deploy advanced military hardware that was previously inaccessible.
Recognizing Russia's high tolerance for military casualties, Ukraine has shifted its strategy to asymmetric economic warfare. By systematically using long-range drones to attack Russian oil refineries and tankers, Ukraine aims to inflict financial pain where the human cost of war has failed to be a deterrent, creating what they call "the real sanctions."
Myanmar's revolutionary forces were gaining until two external factors reversed their momentum. China cut supply lines to ethnic armed groups it previously backed, and the closure of USAID forced rebels to divert 60% of their military budget to humanitarian aid, enabling a junta comeback.
Anduril developed functional optical camouflage that makes drones nearly invisible to the human eye. However, the technology is not deployed because modern adversaries use thermal, infrared, LiDAR, and radar sensors, which would easily detect such a system. Hiding in the visible spectrum alone is an obsolete advantage.
Military balloons, a technology from the 1700s, are making a high-tech comeback. Armed forces are developing them as cost-effective platforms for surveillance, guiding munitions, and even deploying armed drones behind enemy lines. They fill a strategic gap between traditional aircraft and satellites, especially for persistent, low-altitude surveillance.
The war in Ukraine has evolved from a traditional territorial conflict into a "robot war," with drones dominating the front lines. This real-world battlefield is accelerating innovation at an "unbelievable" pace, driving new solutions for secure communications and autonomous targeting, providing critical lessons for US drone strategy.
The rise of drones is more than an incremental improvement; it's a paradigm shift. Warfare is moving from human-manned systems where lives are always at risk to autonomous ones where mission success hinges on technological reliability. This changes cost-benefit analyses and reduces direct human exposure in conflict.