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Citing Paul Graham, Peterson states that founders should disregard the justifications VCs give for passing on a deal. The probability that the VC is being truthful, multiplied by the probability that their reasoning is correct, is so low that the feedback contains almost no signal.
An investor might correctly identify a company's flaw but still be wrong to pass, as great founders often fix those issues. This requires investors to have the humility to admit their ultimate conclusion was wrong, even if their initial analysis was correct, and be willing to re-engage with the startup.
An investor's best career P&L winners are not immediate yeses. They often involve an initial pass by either the investor or the company. This shows that timing and building relationships over multiple rounds can be more crucial than a single early-stage decision, as a 'missed round' isn't a 'missed company'.
The pervasive trend of VCs being "founder-friendly" often manifests as "hypocritical politeness" that withholds crucial, direct feedback. This ultimately hurts the company. Strong founders don't select for niceness; they seek partners who provide brutally honest input to help them improve.
Investors will often be polite and say a startup is "too early." However, founders should ignore these words and instead analyze the investor's portfolio. If an investor has no history of funding pre-product companies, their feedback is irrelevant; they were never a real prospect.
Investor Chris Reisach argues that if an investment doesn't make sense to you, the problem likely lies with the business, not your intellect. He advises junior VCs to trust their confusion as an adverse signal. A founder's inability to clearly articulate their vision is a fundamental flaw, and investing without true conviction is a recipe for failure.
Reframe the pitch meeting from a judgment session to a mutual evaluation. Founders are selecting a partner for 7-10 years and must assess the investor for chemistry and fit, rather than just seeking capital from a position of need.
When investors say "no," don't just accept it. Reframe their decision as a potential mistake, comparing it to common investor errors like overlooking a great founder due to market concerns. This tactic, which turned two rejections into $12M, repositions you from supplicant to a confident peer and can reopen the conversation.
When passing on a deal, VCs often cite external factors like market size or competition. Trae Stephens reveals this is often a fabrication to avoid the difficult, personal feedback that they simply don't have conviction in the founder's ability to succeed.
While it's crucial to listen to markets and clients, founders must also be prepared to stick to their convictions when investors, who may not be specialists in their niche, offer conflicting advice. Knowing when to listen and when to hold firm is a key startup skill.
VCs often correctly identify a special founder but then pass due to external factors like competition or perceived market size. Reflecting on missing Scale AI, Benchmark concludes this is a critical error; the person is the signal that should override other concerns.