Chesky observes that the vast majority of AI startups focus on enterprise applications, leaving a significant opportunity in consumer-facing products. He argues that the largest companies will be those that impact daily life and advises entrepreneurs not to shy away from the harder, "hits-driven" consumer market.

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Today's dominant AI tools like ChatGPT are perceived as productivity aids, akin to "homework helpers." The next multi-billion dollar opportunity is in creating the go-to AI for fun, creativity, and entertainment—the app people use when they're not working. This untapped market focuses on user expression and play.

As screens fill with increasingly "artificial" AI-generated content, Brian Chesky believes people will crave genuine, real-world interactions more than ever. This counter-trend, evidenced by the rising popularity of concerts and travel, creates a huge tailwind for businesses that facilitate offline connection.

Airbnb's CEO argues that access to powerful AI models will be commoditized, much like electricity. Frontier models are available via API, and slightly older open-source versions are nearly as good for most consumer use cases. The long-term competitive advantage lies in the application, not the underlying model.

As AI makes digital content increasingly artificial and indistinguishable from reality, the value of authentic, in-person human connection will skyrocket. The most powerful counter-position to the AI trend isn't less technology, but rather using technology to facilitate more tangible, "real" world interactions.

Brian Chesky posits that as the digital world becomes increasingly artificial, the value of authentic, in-person experiences will skyrocket. The true counter-position to the AI trend isn't different tech, but the "real world." This creates a massive opportunity for businesses focused on tangible human connection.

CEO Brian Chesky sees advertising as a multi-billion dollar opportunity but is intentionally holding off. Instead of replicating Google's legacy search ad model, he wants to first perfect an AI-driven search experience and then design a new advertising unit tailored for that conversational interface, ensuring it doesn't degrade user trust.

Brian Chesky compares the current state of AI interfaces to the MS-DOS era—a functional but primitive way to interact with powerful new technology. He believes the chatbot is not the final form and a "multi-touch" moment is needed, where devices and apps are completely re-imagined for an AI-native consumer world.

The lack of innovative consumer AI applications stems not from technology gaps, but from a talent bottleneck. The primary obstacles are a small global pool of exceptional consumer product leaders and founders' fear that incumbent platforms will simply copy any successful new idea.

According to Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky, a major reason for the scarcity of consumer AI startups is founder apprehension. They worry that if they build a successful consumer product, large platform players like OpenAI and Google will simply absorb their functionality, making it difficult to build a defensible, standalone business.

Brian Chesky applies the classic "overestimate in a year, underestimate in a decade" framework to AI. He argues that despite hype, daily life hasn't changed much yet. The true shift will occur in 3-5 years, once the top 50 consumer apps are rebuilt as AI-native products.

Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky Identifies a Major Market Gap in Consumer AI | RiffOn