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To deter a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, the U.S. may be pursuing a strategy of global destabilization. Keeping the Middle East volatile ensures that any large-scale military action by China would coincide with soaring oil prices and severe energy shortages, making an invasion unviable.

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The push for conflict with Iran wasn't just about nuclear threats but a calculated move. By controlling the Strait of Hormuz, the US could cut off China's primary oil source, forcing them into economic concessions and shoring up the US dollar.

The predicted US military action in Iran serves a dual purpose. After shutting down oil from the Strait of Hormuz, Trump will leverage China's dependence on that oil. He will offer to reopen the spigot only if China assists in secularizing Iran and removing its uranium, using economic pressure to achieve geopolitical goals.

Despite ambitions for 2027, China is currently ill-positioned for an immediate invasion of Taiwan. The combination of disrupted energy supplies, a fragile domestic economy, and internal military purges by Xi makes a large-scale, energy-intensive conflict strategically unwise at this moment.

The Pentagon is moving significant military assets, including warships, out of the Indo-Pacific to reinforce its position in the Middle East. This diversion of American attention and resources could present China with an opportunity to advance its long-standing interests in regions like Taiwan.

The move against Iran is not just a regional conflict but part of a grand strategy to disrupt the China-Russia-Iran-North Korea axis. By attempting to cut off China's access to cheap oil from Iran and Venezuela, the goal is to weaken China’s economic rise, even at the risk of global instability.

The escalating strikes between the US and Iran over oil tankers serve a broader strategic purpose for Russia and China. By baiting the US into using its munitions in a regional conflict, these powers aim to deplete American military readiness for potential larger conflicts in Europe or with Taiwan.

U.S. foreign policy actions against Venezuela and Iran are not primarily about democracy but are strategic moves to disrupt the flow of cheap, sanctioned oil to China. By controlling these sources, the U.S. can directly attack a key adversary's economic and military engine.

The theory suggests the US is feigning a desire to resolve the Strait of Hormuz conflict. The real goal is to maintain high oil prices, which disproportionately harms China (a major importer) while benefiting the US as a major energy exporter, framing it as a strategic move in the broader AI race.

While the U.S. is preoccupied with Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, China has significantly increased its military presence around Taiwan. This may not be just a show of force, but a strategic dress rehearsal for an invasion, testing capabilities while global attention is focused elsewhere.

The US geopolitical strategy has two paths to energy dominance. The first is defeating Iran. The second, more cynical path, is to simply ensure the Middle East remains destabilized. This makes the collective energy production of the Americas a relatively more secure and valuable strategic asset globally.