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Lucrative civilian markets, not government deals, drive frontier tech. By making the defense side of a business a major political and legal liability, the Pentagon risks pushing top companies to completely shun government work, reversing a decades-long, successful dynamic for dual-use technology.
By threatening a willing partner, the DoD risks sending a message to Silicon Valley that any collaboration will lead to a loss of control, undermining efforts to recruit tech talent for national security.
The US is adopting the PRC's tactic of forcing private tech companies into military service. This contradicts free-enterprise principles and threatens to kill the very innovation the government wants to leverage, a known long-term failure of the Chinese model, potentially causing top talent and companies to flee.
The Pentagon's threat to label Anthropic a "supply chain risk" is not about vendor reliability; it's a severe legal weapon, typically reserved for foreign adversaries, that would bar any DoD contractor from working with them.
While some tech firms like Palantir build their brand on working with the military, Anthropic has the equal right to refuse on ethical grounds, such as concerns over mass surveillance. Forcing a company to work with the government violates the free-market principle that firms decide who their customers are.
Investing in a hypersonic weapons company, once a career-ending move in Silicon Valley, is now seen as a crucial act of deterrence. This rapid cultural reversal, catalyzed by geopolitical events, signifies a profound sea change in the tech industry's values and its relationship with national security.
The Pentagon threatened to label Anthropic a "supply chain risk" while also vowing to use the Defense Production Act to force the company to work with them. This contradiction suggests the "risk" label is not a legitimate security concern but a punitive measure to force compliance with the government's terms for AI use in military operations.
Valinor CEO Julie Busch argues that the VC push for dual-use (government and commercial) products is a distraction. Most government needs are single-use, creating a massive, underserved market. Furthermore, it's far easier to adapt a government-first product for commercial use than the other way around due to stringent compliance hurdles.
The US government no longer just funds defense-specific space tech. It now mandates that startups demonstrate a clear dual-use commercialization plan, ensuring the technology fosters a broader economic ecosystem and isn't solely reliant on defense budgets.
The Department of War is threatening to blacklist Anthropic for prohibiting military use of its AI, a severe penalty typically reserved for foreign adversaries like Huawei. This conflict represents a proxy war over who dictates the terms of AI use: the technology creators or the government.
By threatening to force Anthropic to remove military use restrictions, the Pentagon is acting against the free-market principles that fostered US tech dominance. This government overreach, telling a private company how to run its business and set its policies, resembles state-controlled economies.