Private equity and venture capital funds create an illusion of stability by avoiding daily mark-to-market pricing. This "laundering of volatility" is a core reason companies stay private longer. It reveals a key, if artificial, benefit of private markets that new technologies like tokenization could disrupt.

Public pensions may invest in private assets not only for potential outperformance but to avoid the daily mark-to-market volatility of public markets. This 'volatility washing' creates an illusion of stability that may not reflect the true economic risks of the underlying assets, serving as a poor reason to invest.

Cliff Asness coined the term "volatility laundering" to describe how private equity masks its true risk. The strategy is fundamentally levered equity, which is highly volatile. By not marking to market daily, firms smooth returns and report low volatility—an accounting fiction, not an economic reality.

Private equity's low reported correlation with public markets is largely an illusion created by smoothed, infrequent valuations ("volatility laundering"). The effect is exaggerated when institutions report private asset returns with a one-quarter lag, creating "accounting diversification" instead of real risk reduction.

Jeff Gundlach argues private credit's attractive Sharpe ratio is misleading. Assets aren't priced daily, hiding risk. When an asset is finally marked, it can go from a valuation of 100 to zero in weeks, exposing the “low volatility” as a dangerous fallacy.

Howard Marks argues that private credit's apparent low volatility during market downturns is not magic but an accounting feature. By not marking to market daily, it mimics the psychological trick of simply not looking at your public portfolio's value, creating a potentially false sense of security for investors.

Investors are drawn to PE's smooth, bond-like volatility reporting. However, the underlying assets are small, highly indebted companies, which are inherently much riskier than public equities. This mismatch between perceived risk (low) and actual risk (high) creates a major portfolio allocation error.

Private equity funds report lower volatility because they aren't required to mark assets to market daily. Unlike public funds, they can avoid reporting sharp downturns, a practice critics call "volatility smoothing" or "lying." This creates a misleading picture of risk and return.

Published private market returns mask true volatility. After "de-smoothing," private equity's volatility is 20%, double its published rate of 10%. In contrast, opportunistic credit's volatility is much lower (low teens), making it a superior asset class on a risk-adjusted basis for institutional portfolios.