Just as YouTube lowered media distribution costs, AI is lowering software development costs. This could shift the SaaS market away from large, one-size-fits-all platforms toward a model where small, elite teams deliver highly customized software solutions directly to enterprise clients.
AI enables "software does labor" business models in industries previously deemed too small for specialized software, like dental offices or trial law. By replacing or augmenting specific labor tasks, startups can justify high-value contracts in markets that historically wouldn't pay for traditional SaaS tools.
The barrier to creating software is collapsing. Non-coders can now build sophisticated, personalized applications for specific workflows in under an hour. This points to a future where individuals and teams create their own disposable, custom tools, replacing subscriptions to numerous niche SaaS products.
Companies are now rejecting expensive SaaS contracts because their internal teams can build equivalent custom solutions in days using AI coding tools. This trend signals a fundamental threat to the traditional SaaS business model, as the 'build vs. buy' calculation has dramatically shifted.
AI tools enable users to create bespoke applications tailored to their needs. This shift towards personalized software challenges the one-size-fits-all SaaS model, potentially rendering many subscription products obsolete and causing market underperformance, as seen in the Morgan Stanley SAS index.
For decades, buying generalized SaaS was more efficient than building custom software. AI coding agents reverse this. Now, companies can build hyper-specific, more effective tools internally for less cost than a bloated SaaS subscription, because they only need to solve their unique problem.
AI is making core software functionality nearly free, creating an existential crisis for traditional SaaS companies. The old model of 90%+ gross margins is disappearing. The future will be dominated by a few large AI players with lower margins, alongside a strategic shift towards monetizing high-value services.
The fundamental business model of many SaaS companies is based on per-user pricing. AI agents pose an existential threat to this model by enabling smaller teams to achieve the same output as larger ones. As companies wonder why they should pay for 100 seats when 10 people can do the work, the entire economic foundation of the SaaS industry faces a crisis.
The true second-order effect of AI isn't just a single massive solo company. It's a "golden age" of B2B SaaS, where a one-person unicorn will rely on hundreds of other small, hyper-specialized software startups to handle its various functions.
AI is predicted to reduce engineering costs to near-zero, enabling individuals with strong product taste to build, launch, and market SaaS companies alone. The critical skill will shift from coding to user testing and product insight, functions that AI cannot yet fully replace.
AI coding tools dramatically lower the barrier to software creation, enabling a new wave of 'indie' developers. This will lead to an explosion of hyper-personal, niche apps designed to solve specific problems for small user groups, shifting the focus away from universal, VC-scale software.