Bradley Tusk, known for his work with Uber, advises startups to focus their regulatory efforts on state and local governments. He argues that achieving federal-level change is akin to a miracle. In contrast, states offer 50 different opportunities to pass favorable legislation, establish precedent, and build momentum for broader change.
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In heavily regulated or legally ambiguous industries, a founder's most valuable asset can be political connections. One startup literally used a pitch deck slide showing its co-founder with prominent politicians to signal their ability to influence future legislation in their favor. This represents a stark, real-world "crony capitalism" business strategy.
In China, mayors and governors are promoted based on their ability to meet national priorities. As AI safety becomes a central government goal, these local leaders are now incentivized to create experimental zones and novel regulatory approaches, driving bottom-up policy innovation that can later be adopted nationally.
Beyond technology and cost, the most significant immediate barrier to scaling autonomous vehicle services is the fragmented, state-by-state regulatory approval process. This creates a complex and unpredictable patchwork of legal requirements that hinders rapid, nationwide expansion for all players in the industry.
The Under Secretary of War, a former Uber executive, likens his government role to his startup experience. The key parallel is being a "political disruptor" who examines a massive, entrenched bureaucracy like the Department of War with a "clean sheet of paper," questioning existing processes and empowering change from first principles.
A unified US AI strategy is being undermined by politicians with state-level goals. A senator aiming for a governorship will prioritize the interests of a key local industry (like Nashville's music lobby against AI) over federal preemption, leading to a fragmented, state-by-state regulatory nightmare.
Local city governments are often captured by "Not In My Backyard" (NIMBY) homeowners who block essential development. A practical solution is to elevate planning and zoning authority to the state level. States, motivated by tax revenues and broader growth, are inherently more development-friendly.
Contrary to their current stance, major AI labs will pivot to support national-level regulation. The motivation is strategic: a single, predictable federal framework is preferable to navigating an increasingly complex and contradictory patchwork of state-by-state AI laws, which stifles innovation and increases compliance costs.
Dubbed "Travis's Law," Uber's core political innovation was turning its passionate customer base into a powerful lobbying force. By building advocacy tools directly into their product, startups can mobilize users to defeat powerful, entrenched incumbents in regulated industries.
Advocating for a single national AI policy is often a strategic move by tech lobbyists and friendly politicians to preempt and invalidate stricter regulations emerging at the state level. Under the guise of creating a unified standard, this approach effectively ensures the actual policy is weak or non-existent, allowing the industry to operate with minimal oversight.
AI policy has evolved from a niche topic into a viable campaign issue for ambitious state-level politicians. The sponsors of both New York's RAISE Act and California's SB 53 are leveraging their legislative victories on AI to run for U.S. Congress, signaling a new era where AI regulation is a key part of a politician's public platform.
