Contrary to popular cynicism, ominous warnings about AI from leaders like Anthropic's CEO are often genuine. Ethan Mollick suggests these executives truly believe in the potential dangers of the technology they are creating, and it's not solely a marketing tactic to inflate its power.

Shkreli posits that Anthropic's public stance on AI safety and existential risk, while potentially sincere, also functions as a powerful marketing tool. This "doomer" narrative conveniently differentiates the company and captures public attention in a crowded market.

Anthropic's public focus on AI doomerism and safety isn't just ideological; it's a strategic move. By positioning themselves as the "safe" player, they can influence regulation to create a closed environment with few competitors, creating an information asymmetry they can exploit.

The narrative that AI could be catastrophic ('summoning the demon') is used strategically. It creates a sense of danger that justifies why a small, elite group must maintain tight control over the technology, thereby warding off both regulation and competition.

While not a consensus, surveys of AI researchers reveal significant concern. The median respondent in a large survey assigned a 5% probability to human extinction or a similar disaster from AI, with a third to a half placing the risk at 10% or higher, suggesting the threat is taken seriously within the field.

The rhetoric around AI's existential risks is framed as a competitive tactic. Some labs used these narratives to scare investors, regulators, and potential competitors away, effectively 'pulling up the ladder' to cement their market lead under the guise of safety.

The narrative that AI risk-awareness is just "doomerism" is a recent phenomenon, strategically pushed by those who stand to benefit commercially from unchecked AI development. In reality, concerns about superintelligence risks have been foundational to the AI industry for decades.

AI leaders' apocalyptic messaging about sentient AI and job destruction is a strategy to attract massive investment and potentially trigger regulatory capture. This "AB testing" of messages creates a severe PR problem, making AI deeply unpopular with the public.

Anthropic and other frontier labs are accused of deliberately engineering and amplifying fear about AI (e.g., job loss, existential risk). This "fear-mongering" is not idle speculation but a calculated media campaign designed to pressure governments into creating regulations that would favor incumbents.