Despite a poor formal education, Winston Churchill consistently grasped the strategic potential of new technologies like the tank, radar, and nuclear weapons. His innate sense for the "realities of these things" allowed him to champion innovations that established experts and military leaders initially dismissed or misunderstood.
The critical national security risk for the U.S. isn't failing to invent frontier AI, but failing to integrate it. Like the French who invented the tank but lost to Germany's superior "Blitzkrieg" doctrine, the U.S. could lose its lead through slow operational adoption by its military and intelligence agencies.
Joan's success relied on an "infectious bravery" that inspired demoralized troops and overrode the caution of veteran commanders. She consistently pushed for aggressive attacks when professionals advised delay. This highlights how a leader's conviction and confidence can become a tangible strategic advantage, transforming a unit's psychology and capacity for risk.
The British WWII strategic bombing campaign reveals a core logic of war: success provokes a neutralizing reaction. As British bombing became more effective, Germany reallocated vast resources to air defense and countermeasures. This response ultimately negated the initial British advantage, showcasing the dynamic interplay of action and reaction.
Superhuman's CTO credits a non-tech role managing submarine maintenance with teaching him to lead without technical legitimacy. By being forced to put his ego aside and drive change by asking fundamental questions, he learned to influence people far smarter in their domain.
The military lacks the "creative destruction" of the private sector and is constrained by rigid institutional boundaries. Real technological change, like AI adoption, can only happen when intense civilian leaders pair with open-minded military counterparts to form a powerful coalition for change.
In a study comparing military captains and generals, novices used data to confirm their initial strategy. The more experienced generals used the same data to question their strategy, treating intuition as a starting point for inquiry, not a conclusion.
Military technology often evolves incrementally. However, a breakthrough like the Maxim machine gun can suddenly render centuries of established doctrine—such as the drilled infantry charge—completely obsolete. This creates a strategic crisis that forces an equally radical technological and tactical response, like the tank.
A former National Security Council staffer observed that President Trump's decisions often seemed counterintuitive in the moment but were later revealed as brilliant strategic "chess moves." This pattern built a high degree of trust among staff, enabling them to execute his vision without always understanding the immediate rationale.
Figures like Henry Kaiser and Elon Musk don't confine themselves to one industry (e.g., roads or rockets). They view their core skill as engineering itself—a portable competence applicable to any complex physical problem, enabling them to jump into and dominate new fields.
Dell argues that to take on giants like IBM, you need extreme self-belief and, crucially, naivete—not knowing enough to believe it's impossible. This combination allows founders to ignore conventional wisdom that paralyzes incumbents and invent entirely new approaches.