The student debt crisis is less about the cost of college and more about the failure to graduate. The vast majority of a degree's economic benefit is realized only upon completion. Attending college without graduating is a poor investment, making completion rates a more critical focus for policy than enrollment.
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When the government guaranteed student loans, it removed the risk for colleges. This allowed them to hike tuition prices unchecked, knowing students had access to funding. The resulting flood of graduates has also made a college degree less of a differentiator in the job market.
The unemployment rate for college-educated young men has surged to 7%, matching that of their peers without a degree. This parity indicates that a traditional degree's value in securing entry-level employment is eroding for this demographic, challenged by AI automation and increased competition from experienced workers.
Senator Warren highlights a critical omission in standard economic calculations: the cost of servicing debt. Expenses like credit card interest and student loan payments are often left out, meaning official data doesn't capture the full financial pressure American families are facing.
A speaker highlights a dramatic shift in public perception. A decade ago, the margin of Americans who believed college was worth the cost was +13. Today, that number has cratered to -30, indicating a major crisis of confidence in the higher education system's ROI.
A surge in student loan delinquency rates to double-digit levels indicates significant financial distress, particularly for the middle third of the income distribution. These borrowers are forced to prioritize essential expenses like housing over their loan payments, revealing a deepening affordability crisis.
To fix the student debt crisis, universities should be financially on the hook for the first portion of any loan default (e.g., $20,000). This "first loss" position would compel them to underwrite the economic viability of their own degrees, creating a powerful market check against pushing students into overpriced and low-value programs.
After a long forbearance period where many new graduates had never made a payment, the resumption of student loans saw delinquency rates spike to over 20%, more than double the historical 10% average. This reflects both immense financial strain and widespread confusion over repayment programs.
Despite the prestige, an MBA can be a poor financial decision for high-performing young professionals. The two years of lost income and career advancement create a significant opportunity cost that often trumps the marginal gain from the degree, especially for those who could have been promoted in that same timeframe.
The debate over college's worth should be framed as a bargain, not a simple "good vs. bad" decision. The most critical factor is the amount of debt incurred. A full-ride scholarship has minimal downside, whereas a debt-funded degree for a non-essential career can be a significant financial trap.
The problem isn't that college is inherently bad, but that the U.S. system creates a moral hazard. Government-guaranteed, non-dischargeable loans remove any incentive for universities to be competitive on price or deliver value, allowing them to become "parasitic" organizations that saddle students with crippling debt.
