When the government guaranteed student loans, it removed the risk for colleges. This allowed them to hike tuition prices unchecked, knowing students had access to funding. The resulting flood of graduates has also made a college degree less of a differentiator in the job market.
Related Insights
The Fed's rate hikes fail to address the root causes of inflation in housing, education, and healthcare. These sectors suffer from structural issues like regulation and bureaucracy. Higher rates can even be counterproductive, for instance, by stifling new housing construction, which restricts supply.
The unemployment rate for college-educated young men has surged to 7%, matching that of their peers without a degree. This parity indicates that a traditional degree's value in securing entry-level employment is eroding for this demographic, challenged by AI automation and increased competition from experienced workers.
A paradoxical market reality is that sectors with heavy government involvement, like healthcare and education, experience skyrocketing costs. In contrast, less-regulated, technology-driven sectors see prices consistently fall, suggesting a correlation between intervention and price inflation.
A speaker highlights a dramatic shift in public perception. A decade ago, the margin of Americans who believed college was worth the cost was +13. Today, that number has cratered to -30, indicating a major crisis of confidence in the higher education system's ROI.
Widespread cancellation of medical debt, while well-intentioned, may remove consumer pressure on providers. If patients don't need to shop around or question prices because they anticipate forgiveness, it eliminates a key market force needed to control escalating costs.
To fix the student debt crisis, universities should be financially on the hook for the first portion of any loan default (e.g., $20,000). This "first loss" position would compel them to underwrite the economic viability of their own degrees, creating a powerful market check against pushing students into overpriced and low-value programs.
The binding nature of 'early decision' programs prevents accepted students from leveraging competing financial aid offers. This tactic, combined with universities raising prices in lockstep, effectively creates a cartel that maintains total pricing power over families.
After a long forbearance period where many new graduates had never made a payment, the resumption of student loans saw delinquency rates spike to over 20%, more than double the historical 10% average. This reflects both immense financial strain and widespread confusion over repayment programs.
The debate over college's worth should be framed as a bargain, not a simple "good vs. bad" decision. The most critical factor is the amount of debt incurred. A full-ride scholarship has minimal downside, whereas a debt-funded degree for a non-essential career can be a significant financial trap.
The problem isn't that college is inherently bad, but that the U.S. system creates a moral hazard. Government-guaranteed, non-dischargeable loans remove any incentive for universities to be competitive on price or deliver value, allowing them to become "parasitic" organizations that saddle students with crippling debt.
