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The Trump administration's approach to foreign policy is not random chaos but a deliberate project by a surrounding team to destroy established institutions and replace them with a system benefiting ideologues, business allies, and authoritarian regimes, using the vacuum to profit.
The US has shifted from anchoring a liberal international order to signaling it stands for nothing beyond its own power and interests. This amoral, transactional stance has alienated democratic allies and eroded the nation's soft power on the world stage.
Trump's erratic approach isn't random; it's a strategy to create chaos and uncertainty. This keeps adversaries off-balance, allowing him to exploit openings that emerge, much like a disruptive CEO. He is comfortable with instability and uses it as a tool for negotiation and advantage.
The US is abandoning the post-WWII multilateral "rules-based order" for a bilateral "America First" approach. This isn't just a policy change; it signals a fundamental transition from a republic managing alliances to an empire enforcing its will, regardless of which party is in power.
Unlike past administrations that used pretexts like 'democracy,' the Trump administration openly states its transactional goals, such as seizing oil. This 'criming in plain sight' approach is merely an overt version of historical covert US actions in regions like Latin America.
The practice of removing experienced, credentialed diplomats and civil servants in favor of loyalists has gutted America's ability to execute complex tasks, from foreign policy to domestic administration. This decline is now becoming painfully obvious.
Bill Burns argues that abandoning alliances and diplomacy for a narrow, hard-power-focused "self-interest" achieves for adversaries what they could not do themselves, describing it as a self-inflicted wound that undermines American power.
Misinterpreting Trump's actions as typical political maneuvering for short-term wins is a mistake. His high-risk, world-altering gambles are driven by the ambition to be a consequential president carved onto Mount Rushmore, not just to win the next election. He is playing for a complete reordering of the world.
Trump's efforts are not just breaking norms but constitute an attempt at a full-blown "political revolution." The goal is to gain direct political control over institutions like the FBI and DOJ, weaponize them against political opponents, and eliminate the checks and balances that constrain presidential power.
Anne Applebaum highlights a disturbing shift where high-stakes foreign policy, like the Ukraine peace plan, is conducted by businesspeople seeking personal financial gain. This mirrors the kleptocratic systems of autocratic states, prioritizing private profit over national or allied interests, and raises questions about who American foreign policy truly serves.
A core element of Trump's worldview is the belief that global affairs can be managed through personal relationships and deals between powerful leaders, bypassing institutions. This 'great power condominium' approach explains his attempts to charm leaders like Putin and Xi, believing his personal diplomacy can resolve complex structural issues.