Get your free personalized podcast brief

We scan new podcasts and send you the top 5 insights daily.

Even if AI dramatically lowers coding costs, it won't destroy established SaaS businesses. Technical expenses only account for 10-20% of revenue for major SaaS players. The other 80% is spent on marketing, events, and client service, creating an opportunity for significant margin expansion.

Related Insights

Established SaaS firms avoid AI-native products because they operate at lower gross margins (e.g., 40%) compared to traditional software (80%+). This parallels brick-and-mortar retail's fatal hesitation with e-commerce, creating an opportunity for AI-native startups to capture the market by embracing different unit economics.

The compute-heavy nature of AI makes traditional 80%+ SaaS gross margins impossible. Companies should embrace lower margins as proof of user adoption and value delivery. This strategy mirrors the successful on-premise to cloud transition, which ultimately drove massive growth for companies like Microsoft.

Just as YouTube lowered media distribution costs, AI is lowering software development costs. This could shift the SaaS market away from large, one-size-fits-all platforms toward a model where small, elite teams deliver highly customized software solutions directly to enterprise clients.

AI is making core software functionality nearly free, creating an existential crisis for traditional SaaS companies. The old model of 90%+ gross margins is disappearing. The future will be dominated by a few large AI players with lower margins, alongside a strategic shift towards monetizing high-value services.

While AI companies are structurally lower gross margin due to cloud and LLM costs, this may be offset by significantly lower operating expenses. AI tools can make engineering, sales, and legal teams more efficient, potentially leading to a higher terminal operating margin than traditional SaaS businesses, which is what ultimately matters.

The 'SaaS-pocalypse' narrative is flawed because IT/SaaS is only 8-12% of enterprise spend. Companies will use powerful AI models to create value in the other 90% of their business—like operations and sales—rather than just rebuilding core software like ERPs or CRMs where the financial upside is limited.

SaaS value lies in its encoded business processes, not its underlying code. AI's primary impact will be forcing SaaS companies to adopt natural language and conversational interfaces to meet new user expectations. The backend complexity remains essential and is not the point of disruption.

AI doesn't kill all software; it bifurcates the market. Companies with strong moats like distribution, proprietary data, and enterprise lock-in will thrive by integrating AI. However, companies whose only advantage was their software code will be wiped out as AI makes the code itself a commodity. The moat is no longer the software.

AI tools aren't just making employees more efficient; they are replacing human labor. This allows software companies to move from cheap per-seat pricing to a new model based on outcomes, like charging per support ticket resolved, capturing a much larger share of the value.

The traditional SaaS model—high R&D/sales costs, low COGS—is being inverted. AI makes building software cheap but running it expensive due to high inference costs (COGS). This threatens profitability, as companies now face high customer acquisition costs AND high costs of goods sold.