The narrative that new features from major AI labs kill startups is often wrong. Instead, these releases serve as massive free education, validate new user behaviors, and unlock enterprise budgets. This creates demand for more specialized, vertical-focused tools, ultimately growing the entire ecosystem for startups.

Related Insights

With over half of new startup pitches focusing on AI automating existing jobs, the primary solution to this massive displacement is not retraining, but fostering an ecosystem that aggressively creates new companies, new industries, and consequently, new roles.

The rapid growth of AI products isn't due to a sudden market desire for AI technology itself. Rather, AI enables superior solutions for long-standing customer problems that were previously addressed with inadequate options. The demand existed long before the AI-powered supply arrived to meet it.

The emergence of high-quality open-source models from China drastically shortens the innovation window of closed-source leaders. This competition is healthy for startups, providing them with a broader array of cheaper, powerful models to build on and preventing a single company from becoming a chokepoint.

Large AI labs like OpenAI are not always the primary innovators in product experience. Instead, a "supply chain of product ideas" exists where startups first popularize new interfaces, like templated creation. The labs then observe what works and integrate these proven concepts into their own platforms.

AI tools drastically reduce the time and expertise needed to enter new domains. This allows startups to pivot their entire company quickly to capitalize on shifting investor sentiment and market narratives, making them more agile in a hype-driven environment where narrative alignment attracts capital.

Successful AI products like Gamma and Cursor don't just add a feature; they create so much value they can charge orders of magnitude more than legacy alternatives. This massive Total Addressable Market (TAM) expansion, not a simple price bump, is the engine of their explosive growth.

Counter to fears that foundation models will obsolete all apps, AI startups can build defensible businesses by embedding AI into unique workflows, owning the customer relationship, and creating network effects. This mirrors how top App Store apps succeeded despite Apple's platform dominance.

Product managers at large AI labs are incentivized to ship safe, incremental features rather than risky, opinionated products. This structural aversion to risk creates a permanent market opportunity for startups to build bold, niche applications that incumbents are organizationally unable to pursue.

Big tech companies are offering their most advanced AI models via a "tokens by the drink" pricing model. This is incredible for startups, as it provides access to the world's most magical technology on a usage basis, allowing them to get started and scale without massive upfront capital investment.

Many engineers at large companies are cynical about AI's hype, hindering internal product development. This forces enterprises to seek external startups that can deliver functional AI solutions, creating an unprecedented opportunity for new ventures to win large customers.