Recent elections demonstrate that a strong stock market doesn't translate to votes. This political reality frees politicians to enact populist policies that may harm market indices but appeal to the electorate, creating a structural headwind for cap-weighted indexes dominated by a few large tech companies.

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Policies that pump financial markets disproportionately benefit asset holders, widening the wealth gap and fueling social angst. As a result, the mega-cap tech companies symbolizing this inequality are becoming prime targets for populist politicians seeking to channel public anger for electoral gain.

The massive, AI-driven surge in the stock market creates a perception of economic strength. This provides political leaders with the "cloud cover" to pursue controversial or authoritarian actions that would face intense scrutiny and opposition during an economic downturn.

The robust performance of the AI sector buoys the stock market, creating a positive economic narrative. This economic stability acts as 'cloud cover,' distracting the public and enabling politicians to pursue controversial or anti-democratic actions without immediate economic backlash that would otherwise trigger public outrage.

The modern economic structure is morally flawed. It pushes people from housing, the only asset they understand, into the stock market, then erodes their wealth via inflation. This act of "stealing" from citizens through monetary policy creates the economic insecurity that fuels populism.

Figures like Donald Trump don't create populist movements; they rise by capitalizing on pre-existing societal problems like economic despair. Focusing on removing the leader ignores the root causes that allowed them to gain power, ensuring another similar figure will eventually emerge.

Despite the massive growth of retail investing, politicians rarely campaign on platforms that directly address the interests of shareholders as a distinct societal group. This contrasts with other economic groups, leaving a large and financially significant portion of the population without direct political representation for their investments.

The traditional relationship where economic performance dictated political outcomes has flipped. Now, political priorities like tariff policies, reshoring, and populist movements are the primary drivers of economic trends, creating a more unpredictable environment for investors.

Criticizing AI presents a political dilemma because it's a primary driver of stock market gains. With more Americans viewing the market as a barometer of their financial health, politicians risk alienating voters if an anti-AI stance is perceived as a threat to their retirement accounts.

The current administration's singular focus on AI has exacerbated a K-shaped recovery, hurting the average voter. To win re-election, politicians will be forced to stimulate other sectors of the economy to lift "Main Street" out of recession, making the concentrated AI/Meg7 trade less attractive moving forward.

In times of economic inequality, people are psychologically driven to vote for policies that punish a perceived enemy—like the wealthy or immigrants—rather than those that directly aid the poor. This powerful emotional desire for anger and a villain fuels populist leaders.

Voter Apathy Towards Stock Markets Emboldens Populist Policies, Strengthening 'Short Mag 7' Trade | RiffOn