Unlike cloud or mobile, which incumbents initially ignored, AI adoption is consensus. Startups can't rely on incumbents being slow. The new 'white space' for disruption exists in niche markets large companies still deem too small to enter.

As startups build on commoditized AI platforms like GPT, product differentiation becomes less of a moat. Success now hinges on cracking growth faster than rivals. The new competitive advantages are proprietary data for training models and the deep domain expertise required to find unique growth levers.

In the fast-evolving AI space, traditional moats are less relevant. The new defensibility comes from momentum—a combination of rapid product shipment velocity and effective distribution. Teams that can build and distribute faster than competitors will win, as the underlying technology layer is constantly shifting.

Unlike mobile or internet shifts that created openings for startups, AI is an "accelerating technology." Large companies can integrate it quickly, closing the competitive window for new entrants much faster than in previous platform shifts. The moat is no longer product execution but customer insight.

For incumbent software companies, an existing customer base is a double-edged sword. While it provides a distribution channel for new AI products, it also acts as "cement shoes." The technical debt and feature obligations to thousands of pre-AI customers can consume all engineering resources, preventing them from competing effectively with nimble, AI-native startups.

AI favors incumbents more than startups. While everyone builds on similar models, true network effects come from proprietary data and consumer distribution, both of which incumbents own. Startups are left with narrow problems, but high-quality incumbents are moving fast enough to capture these opportunities.

As AI makes building software features trivial, the sustainable competitive advantage shifts to data. A true data moat uses proprietary customer interaction data to train AI models, creating a feedback loop that continuously improves the product faster than competitors.

Amplitude's CEO explains how incumbents counter "feature-not-company" AI startups. They rapidly build the startup's core functionality, give it away for free, and leverage it as a powerful lead generation tool for their existing business, commoditizing the startup's value proposition overnight.

Contrary to the belief that distribution is the new moat, the crucial differentiator in AI is talent. Building a truly exceptional AI product is incredibly nuanced and complex, requiring a rare skill set. The scarcity of people who can build off models in an intelligent, tasteful way is the real technological moat, not just access to data or customers.