When evaluating a media merger, regulators should narrowly define the market as "premium streaming platforms." Including user-generated content like YouTube or TikTok creates a misleadingly broad market definition that understates a company's true dominance, similar to a chicken producer claiming competition from pistachio farmers.

An antitrust case against a Netflix-Warner Bros. merger is weak if the market is defined as all consumer 'eyeballs,' not just paid streaming. Including massive platforms like YouTube, TikTok, and Instagram, where most people spend their time, creates a landscape of intense competition, undermining monopoly claims.

The primary concern for creators regarding a Netflix-Warner Bros. merger isn't consumer price-gouging (monopoly). It's that Netflix would become the single dominant buyer of content (monopsony), giving it immense leverage to suppress creator pay and control.

While network effects drive consolidation in tech, a powerful counter-force prevents monopolies. Large enterprise customers intentionally support multiple major players (e.g., AWS, GCP, Azure) to avoid vendor lock-in and maintain negotiating power, naturally creating a market with two to three leaders.

The argument that a Netflix/Warner Bros. merger is 'pro-consumer' due to a lower initial bundle price is short-sighted. The resulting consolidation would grant the new entity immense long-term pricing power, likely leading to significantly higher prices in the future.

The value of a large, pre-existing audience is decreasing. Powerful platform algorithms are becoming so effective at identifying and distributing high-quality content that a new creator with great material can get significant reach without an established following. This levels the playing field and reduces the incumbent advantage.

Netflix's bid for Warner Bros. may be a brilliant game theory play. Even if the deal is blocked by regulators, it forces its primary rival into a multi-year acquisition limbo. This distraction freezes the competitor's strategy, allowing Netflix to extend its market lead. It's a win-win for Netflix.

The acquisition isn't a traditional consumer monopoly but a monopsony, concentrating buying power. This gives a combined 'Super Netflix' leverage to dictate terms and potentially lower wages for actors, writers, and directors, shifting power from talent to the studio.

The battle for Warner Bros. is not an isolated event. Whichever entity wins will create a media giant, diminishing the scale of competitors like Disney and Apple. This shift will force the remaining players into their own large-scale, defensive acquisitions to avoid being left behind in a newly consolidated landscape.