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The US is actively dismantling the global systems it created (free trade, collective security), making it the primary driver of global uncertainty, not external challengers like China.

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U.S. foreign policy has moved away from leading the free world towards mimicking the strongman, autocratic behaviors of adversaries. By abandoning democratic allies and adopting aggressive, unilateral actions, the U.S. is now reacting to and copying other global powers rather than setting the international agenda.

The post-WWII global framework, including international law, was a fragile agreement primarily enforced by the US. Its erosion is leading to a "might makes right" reality where nations like Russia, China, and the US act unilaterally in their perceived self-interest, abandoning the pretense of shared rules.

The US has shifted from anchoring a liberal international order to signaling it stands for nothing beyond its own power and interests. This amoral, transactional stance has alienated democratic allies and eroded the nation's soft power on the world stage.

By dismantling the post-WWII global order, the Trump administration forces allies to realign with China. As the U.S. retreats from global partnerships, China is positioned to dominate key industries like renewable energy, making the 21st century "the China century" by default as the world moves on without America.

The true danger of 'predatory hegemony' is not an immediate, catastrophic failure but a gradual degradation of American power, wealth, and influence. This slow fraying of alliances and trust is harder to perceive in the short term but risks leaving the US in a permanently weakened global position over time.

America's unpredictable, "law of the jungle" approach doesn't embolden adversaries like Russia or China, who already operate this way. Instead, it forces traditional allies (Canada, Europe, Japan) to hedge their bets, decouple their interests, and reduce reliance on an unreliable United States for upholding international law.

While external threats like China are real, Palantir's CTO argues America's biggest risk is internal: a loss of will, nihilism, and polarization. The failure of institutions to function effectively erodes legitimacy and national spirit, a more fundamental vulnerability than any foreign adversary.

The true 'mega risk' is not a single policy but a fundamental shift in the US global role. The post-1945 global economic system, including free trade and dollar dominance, has been built on a foundation of US security and leadership. If that leadership is withdrawn, the entire international order could change fundamentally.

The era of economic-led globalization is over. In the new world order, geopolitical interests are the primary driver of international relations. Economic instruments like tariffs and export restrictions are now used as levers to assert national interests, a fundamental shift from the US-centric view where the economy traditionally took the lead.

The most significant danger to the United States isn't a foreign adversary but its own internal discord, self-loathing, and loss of faith in its institutions. This "suicide" of national will, often stemming from an elite disconnected from the populace, creates the weakness that external threats exploit.

The US Itself Is Now the World's Biggest Source of Geopolitical Risk | RiffOn