AI models will quickly automate the majority of expert work, but they will struggle with the final, most complex 25%. For a long time, human expertise will be essential for this 'last mile,' making it the ultimate bottleneck and source of economic value.

Historically, humans moved from manual to cognitive labor as technology automated physical tasks. Emad Mostaque argues AI now automates cognitive work, creating an "intelligence inversion." There's no obvious higher-value domain left for human labor to escape to, unlike previous technological shifts.

Once AI surpasses human intelligence, raw intellect ceases to be a core differentiator. The new “North Star” for humans becomes agency: the willpower to choose difficult, meaningful work over easy dopamine hits provided by AI-generated entertainment.

As AI commoditizes execution and intellectual labor, the only remaining scarce human skill will be judgment: the wisdom to know what to build, why, and for whom. This shifts economic value from effort and hard work to discernment and taste.

The key to predicting AI's economic impact is not focusing on the abundance it creates, but identifying what will remain scarce. As automation made goods cheap, the economy shifted to scarce services. The next economic transformation will similarly be driven by whatever human skills or experiences AI cannot replicate.

The threat of AI is not mass unemployment but a radical redefinition of work. By automating tasks and collapsing the cost of essentials like housing and energy, AI will free humanity from the necessity of 'jobs,' allowing a shift toward a portfolio of creative and problem-solving activities.

AI's primary impact is not wholesale human replacement but rather collapsing the middle of the value pyramid by automating routine knowledge work. The value of human workers will shift to higher-level judgment and strategic oversight, where AI can structure options and simulate outcomes, but humans retain final say due to liability concerns.

As AI agents increasingly automate tasks, the cost of 'doing' work plummets. Greg Brockman argues the most valuable and scarce resource becomes human attention for oversight, judgment, and ensuring AI actions align with high-level goals and values. The core of future work will be deciding 'what' and 'why', not 'how'.

Capitalism values scarcity. AI's core disruption is not just automating tasks, but making human-like intellectual labor so abundant that its market value approaches zero. This breaks the fundamental economic loop of trading scarce labor for wages.