The math used for training AI—minimizing the gap between an internal model and external reality—also governs economics. Successful economic agents (individuals, companies, societies) are those with the most accurate internal maps of reality, allowing them to better predict outcomes and persist over time.
Traditional GDP is a flawed metric that incentivizes harmful activities (like cancer). A better dashboard for societal health would measure the multiplicative balance of Material capital, Intelligence, Network effects, and Diversity (resilience). A zero in any of these categories leads to systemic collapse.
As AI systems become infinitely scalable and more capable, humans will become the weakest link in any cognitive team. The high risk of human error and incorrect conclusions means that, from a purely economic perspective, human cognitive input will eventually detract from, rather than add to, value creation.
Providing every American with a poverty-level UBI of $16,000 would cost $5 trillion annually. This figure exceeds the entire US federal tax base of approximately $4.9 trillion. This simple calculation demonstrates that funding UBI through traditional taxation is not a viable solution for AI-driven job displacement.
Financial support (UBI) is insufficient for a thriving populace. The real safety net in an AI-driven world is a 'Universal Basic AI'—a personal, sovereign AI agent that acts in the user's best interest. This provides capability and access to resources, ensuring individuals are empowered, not just subsidized.
Since taxing profitless AI companies is impossible, a new system is needed. Instead of redistribution, money creation itself must be re-engineered. Capital could be generated and injected directly to individuals for simply existing and participating in the economy, fundamentally changing how money enters circulation.
Following Amazon's model, AI-native companies will reinvest all available cash into acquiring more compute power for a competitive edge. They will operate in a perpetual land-grab mode and never need to show a profit, making them impossible to tax effectively and rendering corporate taxation an obsolete funding mechanism for the state.