Data from the SWOG 1826 trial shows that nivolumab+AVD improves progression-free survival across all evaluated subgroups, including by age, disease stage, and risk score. This broad efficacy simplifies clinical decision-making, establishing it as a new standard for advanced-stage disease.

In neoadjuvant settings, ctDNA monitoring allows for real-time therapy adjustment. Data from the iSpy platform shows 80% of hormone-positive patients clear ctDNA with half the chemotherapy, enabling de-escalation, while the remaining 20% can be identified for escalated treatment.

Experts predict that emerging cell-free DNA (ctDNA) tests for lymphoma will shift treatment from fixed durations to a response-adapted approach. Monitoring minimal residual disease via ctDNA will allow clinicians to tailor the length of therapy based on the quality of response.

The landmark DYNAMIC-2 study showed that using ctDNA to guide adjuvant therapy decisions in Stage II colon cancer cut chemotherapy use by 50% (from 30% to 15% of patients). This de-escalation was achieved without any negative impact on patient outcomes, validating the approach.

The practice-changing DYNAMIC trial showed that a ctDNA-guided strategy for stage II colorectal cancer reduces adjuvant chemotherapy use by 50%. Despite this significant de-escalation of treatment, patient outcomes and survival rates were identical to the standard-of-care approach.

The next frontier in CSCC isn't just about new drugs, but about optimizing existing ones. A key research area is determining the minimum number of immunotherapy doses required for an optimal response—potentially just one or two—to limit toxicity, reduce treatment burden, and personalize care for high-risk patients.

Despite acknowledging that a one-size-fits-all treatment duration is suboptimal, the expert consensus is to follow the study protocol. This conservative, evidence-based approach prevails due to the absence of validated biomarkers, like ctDNA, to safely guide treatment de-escalation for individual patients.

The next wave of ctDNA research focuses on de-escalation. Trials like SIGNAL ER101 and an Alliance cooperative group study will test withholding intensive adjuvant treatments (like CDK4/6 inhibitors) in high-risk, ctDNA-negative patients, initiating therapy only if they turn positive later. This could spare many from toxicity and cost.

The interpretation of ctDNA is context-dependent. Unlike in the adjuvant setting, in the neoadjuvant setting, remaining ctDNA positive post-treatment signifies that the current therapy has failed. These high-risk patients need a different therapeutic approach, not an extension of the ineffective one.