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  1. TBPN
  2. Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher
Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN · Feb 17, 2026

AI labs in Cournot equilibrium, Hollywood battles Seedance 2.0, and Micron's $200B bet. Plus, funding news from Thrive, Dragonfly, and more.

Viral Meme Songs Succeed When the Artist is a 'Blank Slate'

A key factor in the virality of meme songs like 'Bazooka' is that the artist is unknown. This allows the song to exist as a 'pure joke' or a blank slate for interpretation, free from any pre-existing brand or context that a more established musician would carry.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

AI Labs Compete on Supply, Not Price, Driving a 'Cournot Equilibrium'

Major AI labs operate as an oligopoly, competing on the quantity of supply (compute, GPUs) rather than price. This dynamic, known as a Cournot equilibrium, keeps costs for frontier model access high as labs strategically predict and counter each other's investments.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

Stablecoins Function as a US Geopolitical Tool to Increase Demand for Treasuries

The US government views stablecoins favorably because they increase global demand for the US dollar and, by extension, US treasuries. This digital dollarization serves as an economic check on other countries, particularly those with high inflation, by giving their citizens an exit from local currency.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

Longevity Startup Loyal Uses Big Dogs' Short Lifespans as a 'Trojan Dog' for FDA Approval

To get the first longevity drug to market, Loyal is focusing on a relatable problem: why large dogs live shorter lives. This serves as a 'Trojan Dog' to introduce the complex science of aging-as-a-disease to regulators and consumers in an accessible, emotionally resonant way.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

IRL Streamers Manufacture Virality by Paying 'Clippers' Up to $100K a Month

The breakout success of Kick streamers is not organic; it's a paid growth strategy. Streamers like Aiden Ross and others spend tens of thousands of dollars a month paying 'clippers' to edit and distribute their content to short-form video platforms, manufacturing discoverability and amplifying their reach.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

AI's Endgame is Bertrand Competition, Not Oligopoly, Resembling the Hyperscaler Cloud Market

The current oligopolistic 'Cournot' state of AI labs will eventually shift to 'Bertrand' competition, where labs compete more on price. This happens once the frontier commoditizes and models become 'good enough,' leading to a market structure similar to today's cloud providers like AWS and GCP.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

Amplitude CEO: Existing Code is No Longer a Moat; Innovation Speed is the Only Defense

According to Amplitude's CEO, the traditional moat of having established software is gone because AI enables rapid replication. The only remaining defensible advantage for SaaS companies is the speed at which they can integrate bleeding-edge AI capabilities, making continuous, rapid innovation paramount.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

Braintrust CEO: AI Products Are Black Boxes, Making Post-Launch Observability Essential

Unlike traditional software where UX can be pre-assessed, AI products are inherently unpredictable. The CEO of Braintrust argues that this makes observability critical. Companies must monitor real-world user interactions to capture failures and successes, creating a data flywheel for rapid improvement.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

AI Labs Hide Two Businesses: A Capex-Heavy Training Arm and a Profitable Inference Factory

An AI lab's P&L contains two distinct businesses. The first is training models—a high upfront investment creating a depreciating asset. The second is the 'inference factory,' a profitable manufacturing business with positive margins. This duality explains their massive losses despite high revenue.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

AI's Rise Signals the End of Specialized Niches and the Dawn of High-Agency Generalists

The CEO of Amplitude predicts AI will eliminate jobs based on specialized, niche knowledge (e.g., writing an earnings script). The most valuable employees will be high-agency generalists who can leverage AI across functions, forcing designers to ship code and marketers to automate campaigns.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

AI's Coding Bottleneck Is Human Capacity, Not Model Intelligence

Braintrust's CEO argues that developer productivity is already 'tapped out.' Even if AI models become 5% better at writing code, it won't dramatically increase output because the true bottleneck is the human capacity to manage, test, deploy, and respond to user feedback—not the speed of code generation itself.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

Streaming Platforms Shaped a 'Blurry' Music Style to Prevent Users From Hitting Stop

To maximize engagement, streaming platforms algorithmically favor continuous play. This influenced artists like Post Malone to create sonically homogenous, 'blurry' music where tracks seamlessly blend, preventing listeners from noticing transitions and making them less likely to stop the music or switch albums.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

Dragonfly Partner: Non-Financial Crypto Use Cases Are Dead; Its Future is as Money for AI Agents

Dragonfly's managing partner argues that attempts to apply crypto to non-financial domains have largely failed. Crypto's core, enduring value is as programmable money. Its next major growth vector will be serving as the native financial rails for AI agents to transact autonomously with each other.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago

GLP-1 Boom Socialized the Idea of a Single Drug Targeting Multiple Aging Symptoms

The success of GLP-1s like Ozempic, which address weight loss, addiction, and metabolic fitness, has made the public more receptive to longevity drugs. People now better understand how a single drug targeting a core mechanism (like metabolic health) can have widespread, seemingly magical downstream benefits.

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher thumbnail

Why No One Talks Cournot, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0, Micron’s $200B Bet | Jon Caramanica, Haseeb Qureshi, Spenser Skates, Celine Halioua, Ankur Goyal, Reed Duchscher

TBPN·2 days ago