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  1. Machine Learning Tech Brief By HackerNoon
  2. Can ChatGPT Outperform the Market? Week 26
Can ChatGPT Outperform the Market? Week 26

Can ChatGPT Outperform the Market? Week 26

Machine Learning Tech Brief By HackerNoon · Jan 27, 2026

After 26 weeks, the ChatGPT-managed micro-cap portfolio concluded at $82.88, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's $111.68.

AI Trading Project's Focus Shifts to Building Novel LLM Benchmarking Tools

The project's true value is evolving beyond simple profit and loss. The creator is now developing a dedicated benchmarking tool, noting its new direction is "far more important and less explored in the LLM trading ecosystem." This suggests the primary output is not alpha, but rather foundational tooling and infrastructure for the emerging field of AI-driven finance.

Can ChatGPT Outperform the Market? Week 26 thumbnail

Can ChatGPT Outperform the Market? Week 26

Machine Learning Tech Brief By HackerNoon·23 days ago

AI Stock Trading Experiment Pivots to Recent IPOs to Refine Risk Profile

After the initial experiment with a broad set of micro-cap stocks failed, the project is pivoting to a more defined universe: new IPOs from the last five years. This change, based on viewer feedback, aims to better encapsulate a high-risk, high-reward strategy without being a pure "game of chance," indicating a more mature approach to experimental design.

Can ChatGPT Outperform the Market? Week 26 thumbnail

Can ChatGPT Outperform the Market? Week 26

Machine Learning Tech Brief By HackerNoon·23 days ago

ChatGPT-Managed Micro-Cap Portfolio Loses 17% as S&P 500 Gains 11%

A six-month experiment concluded with a ChatGPT-managed portfolio valued at $82.88, a significant loss. This contrasts sharply with a benchmark S&P 500 investment, which would have grown to $111.68 in the same period. The AI's strategy resulted in a -50.33% max drawdown and negative alpha, highlighting its current inability to generate returns in volatile micro-cap stocks.

Can ChatGPT Outperform the Market? Week 26 thumbnail

Can ChatGPT Outperform the Market? Week 26

Machine Learning Tech Brief By HackerNoon·23 days ago