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  1. Arguing Agile
  2. AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway)
AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway)

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway)

Arguing Agile · Feb 25, 2026

CEOs admit no AI ROI, but buy it anyway. Studies show AI makes developers 19% slower and 37% of time saved is lost to rework.

AI Serves as 'Air Cover' for FOMO-Driven Layoffs, Not True Automation

Companies are using AI hype as a justifiable narrative to cut headcount. These decisions are often driven by peer pressure and a desire to please shareholders, not by proven automation replacing specific tasks. AI has become a permission slip for layoffs that might have happened anyway.

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway) thumbnail

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway)

Arguing Agile·a day ago

95% of Generative AI Pilots Fail Due to a Lack of Workflow Integration

According to MIT research, the vast majority of corporate AI pilots fail. This is not due to the technology itself, but a disconnect where executives perceive success while employees report zero actual use. The core reason is a failure to integrate the tools into existing, meaningful workflows.

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway) thumbnail

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway)

Arguing Agile·a day ago

Apply Theory of Constraints to AI: Fix One Bottleneck at a Time

To avoid the common 95% failure rate of AI pilots, companies should use a focused, incremental approach. Instead of a broad rollout, map a single workflow, identify its main bottleneck, and run a short, measured experiment with AI on that step only before expanding.

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway) thumbnail

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway)

Arguing Agile·a day ago

AI's Hidden Cost: 37% of Time Saved is Immediately Lost to Rework

A Workday study reveals a critical blind spot in AI productivity metrics. While tools save time, roughly 37% of that saved time is offset by the need for rework—verifying information, correcting errors, and rewriting content. This dramatically reduces the net value and ROI of the technology.

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway) thumbnail

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway)

Arguing Agile·a day ago

Leaders Prioritize AI Training in Word (66%) But Not in Deed (37%)

A Workday study reveals a major "say-do" gap in corporate upskilling. While two-thirds of leaders claim AI skills training is a top investment priority, only 37% of the most frequent AI users report actually receiving increased access to it, undermining effective adoption.

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway) thumbnail

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway)

Arguing Agile·a day ago

Experienced Developers Are 19% Slower with AI, Yet Feel 20% Faster

A randomized controlled trial revealed a nearly 40% perception gap in developer productivity. While experienced developers using AI tools were measurably 19% slower, they self-reported feeling 20% faster. This highlights the unreliability of self-reported metrics for assessing AI's impact.

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway) thumbnail

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway)

Arguing Agile·a day ago

87% of CEOs Are Publicly Positive on AI While Privately Lacking Benefit Data

An analysis of S&P 500 earnings calls found that while 87% of AI mentions were "wholly positive," the stated benefits were vague and lacked metrics. In contrast, companies clearly articulated risks, suggesting a disconnect between public posturing and the internal reality of unproven ROI.

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway) thumbnail

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway)

Arguing Agile·a day ago

CEOs Admit No AI ROI, Reviving the 40-Year-Old 'Solow Paradox'

Echoing economist Robert Solow's 1987 observation about computers, thousands of CEOs now admit AI has no measurable productivity impact. This suggests history is repeating, where major technological shifts have a long, multi-year lag before their economic benefits are truly realized and measured.

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway) thumbnail

AA250 - CEOs Admit There's No AI ROI (But Keep Buying It Anyway)

Arguing Agile·a day ago