AI errors, or "hallucinations," are analogous to a child's endearing mistakes, like saying "direction" instead of "construction." This reframes flaws not as failures but as a temporary, creative part of a model's development that will disappear as the technology matures.

A consortium including leaders from Google and DeepMind has defined AGI as matching the cognitive versatility of a "well-educated adult" across 10 domains. This new framework moves beyond abstract debate, showing a concrete 30-point leap in AGI score from GPT-4 (27%) to a projected GPT-5 (57%).

The popular conception of AGI as a pre-trained system that knows everything is flawed. A more realistic and powerful goal is an AI with a human-like ability for continual learning. This system wouldn't be deployed as a finished product, but as a 'super-intelligent 15-year-old' that learns and adapts to specific roles.

Language is just one 'keyhole' into intelligence. True artificial general intelligence (AGI) requires 'world modeling'—a spatial intelligence that understands geometry, physics, and actions. This capability to represent and interact with the state of the world is the next critical phase of AI development beyond current language models.

The definition of AGI is a moving goalpost. Scott Wu argues that today's AI meets the standards that would have been considered AGI a decade ago. As technology automates tasks, human work simply moves to a higher level of abstraction, making percentage-based definitions of AGI flawed.

AI's occasional errors ('hallucinations') should be understood as a characteristic of a new, creative type of computer, not a simple flaw. Users must work with it as they would a talented but fallible human: leveraging its creativity while tolerating its occasional incorrectness and using its capacity for self-critique.

King Midas wished for everything he touched to turn to gold, leading to his starvation. This illustrates a core AI alignment challenge: specifying a perfect objective is nearly impossible. An AI that flawlessly executes a poorly defined goal would be catastrophic not because it fails, but because it succeeds too well at the wrong task.

The discourse around AGI is caught in a paradox. Either it is already emerging, in which case it's less a cataclysmic event and more an incremental software improvement, or it remains a perpetually receding future goal. This captures the tension between the hype of superhuman intelligence and the reality of software development.

A useful mental model for AGI is child development. Just as a child can be left unsupervised for progressively longer periods, AI agents are seeing their autonomous runtimes increase. AGI arrives when it becomes economically profitable to let an AI work continuously without supervision, much like an independent adult.