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Despite a 50% drop in Bitcoin's price, stablecoin payment volume doubled in 2025, with 60% of it representing B2B payments. This divergence signals that stablecoins are maturing into a utility for real-world commerce, independent of the volatile crypto asset markets.
The 24/7 nature of perpetual futures (“perps”) is attractive to traditional markets for assets like the S&P 500. This shift requires 24/7 settlement infrastructure, making stablecoins essential collateral and creating a massive, non-speculative demand driver for them.
Stablecoin market growth isn't driven by a single factor. Analysis reveals it has been fastest during periods when both Bitcoin prices and the broad US dollar index are appreciating simultaneously. This dual correlation points to a specific macro environment that is most conducive to stablecoin adoption.
The recent explosion of stablecoins wasn't due to a new financial innovation, but the maturation of underlying blockchain infrastructure. Cheaper and faster transactions on Layer 2 solutions and improved Layer 1s finally made large-scale, low-cost payments practical for real-world use.
Instead of funding another stablecoin protocol, the more viable investment is in the tooling layer. This includes payment systems, SDKs, and accounting software (like triple-entry bookkeeping) that enable small businesses globally to integrate stablecoin payments into their existing fiat workflows.
For hundreds of millions in developing nations, stablecoins are not an investment vehicle but a capital preservation tool. Their core value is providing a simple hedge against high-inflation local currencies by pegging to the USD, a use case that far outweighs the desire for interest yield in those markets.
The acquisition of crypto on-ramp Bridge by payment giant Stripe served as a credible signal to the market. It forced competitors to pay immediate attention and treat stablecoin infrastructure as a critical area for investment, arguably triggering the subsequent flurry of institutional activity.
The proliferation of local crypto exchanges in emerging markets has created robust, stablecoin-dominated trading environments. These function as highly efficient, alternative foreign exchange markets, enabling faster and cheaper cross-border value transfer than traditional rails.
Cryptocurrencies serve two distinct economic functions. Bitcoin's fixed supply makes its price volatile, positioning it as a store of value like digital gold. True currency replacements are stablecoins, which have a fixed value and variable supply, making them suitable for everyday transactions.
Before stablecoins, launching financial services in N countries required N² unique integrations. Now, companies can build on a single dollar-stablecoin standard and instantly operate globally. Adding other local stablecoins becomes a simple N-style addition, radically simplifying global expansion.
The high profits enjoyed by stablecoin issuers like Tether and Circle are temporary. Major financial institutions (Visa, JPMorgan) will eventually launch their own stablecoins, not as primary profit centers, but as low-cost tools to acquire and retain customers. This will drive margins down for the entire industry.