Faced with mass job loss from AI, governments are unlikely to seize assets from the wealthy. The politically easier path is to print massive amounts of money for social support, preserving the existing capital structure while devaluing the currency.
Instead of funding another stablecoin protocol, the more viable investment is in the tooling layer. This includes payment systems, SDKs, and accounting software (like triple-entry bookkeeping) that enable small businesses globally to integrate stablecoin payments into their existing fiat workflows.
The stablecoin market is mature, so new entrants cannot compete on technology alone. To succeed, they must be launched by an entity with a massive built-in user base, such as a social media giant or a large multinational, making standalone stablecoin startups effectively zeros.
Western teams often focus on technology, but the highest-volume users of real-world crypto applications like stablecoins and perpetuals are in Asia and Latin America. Their adoption patterns—not theories from New York or Silicon Valley—dictate which solutions ultimately succeed.
Citing the 1940s playbook, future administrations may force the Fed to fix interest rates at low levels. This makes government borrowing cheap, enabling massive spending to revitalize industry and defense, similar to how war efforts were financed.
The success of protocols like Hyperliquid proves product-market fit for on-chain derivatives. This attracts new competitors who use zero-fee models and airdrops to steal market share, forcing a race to the bottom on fees until only one dominant player remains and can re-introduce them.