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An activist investor admits their level of agitation against poor corporate governance rises significantly only when a stock is underperforming. When performance is strong, even clear governance issues are often tolerated, revealing a pragmatic rather than purely principled approach to engagement.
A growing trend in the tech sector involves activist investors targeting companies with depressed stock prices but stable growth and free cash flow. These activists, like Elliott Investment, are launching campaigns to pressure management into making operational changes or pursuing a sale to a private equity firm, seeing an opportunity to unlock value.
Counterintuitively, companies with 'bad' governance ratings have financially outperformed those with 'good' ratings since 2008. This suggests that so-called 'best practices' often enforce short-termism, while 'bad' governance can actually protect a company's long-term, value-creating mission.
Successful activism requires more than just getting a board seat and driving change. The fundamental quality of the target company's business is paramount. Even with influence, a campaign will likely fail if the business is too fragile or lacks a competitive advantage, as it cannot withstand operational headwinds.
Financial reporting often misses the crucial details of governance. Whether founders or investors control the board can be a more telling indicator of a company's long-term trajectory than the size of its funding rounds.
A common activist trap is 'ambulance chasing'—looking for problems to fix. ValueAct argues the correct sequence is to first identify a great company with a differentiated investment thesis. The need for influence is secondary, preventing adverse selection.
Data since 2008 shows that companies with so-called "bad governance"—often founder-controlled with less board independence—have, in aggregate, financially outperformed those following conventional "good governance" best practices, challenging the entire framework.
Investment research suggests the significant performance signal in governance isn't achieving a perfect score, but rather avoiding companies in the worst decile. The key is to steer clear of clear red flags—like misaligned boards or poor capital allocation—as this is where underperformance is most clearly correlated.
Passive funds from firms like Vanguard and Blackrock outsource their proxy voting to advisors like ISS. These advisors advocate for shareholder primacy in ways that are often inversely correlated with long-term value creation, distorting corporate governance at a massive scale.
Even with a clear valuation case, the reality of implementing change involves significant interpersonal wrangling and complexities not visible on a balance sheet. The 'brain pain' of execution far exceeds the initial analytical work, highlighting the difficulty of turning a thesis into reality.
Zayo CEO Dan Caruso learned that activist investors often create value for themselves, not shareholders, by manufacturing stock volatility. They can create negative sentiment, buy low, then reverse their stance to sell high, profiting from the swings.