Current benchmarks like SWE-bench test isolated, independent tasks. The new Code Clash benchmark aims to evaluate long-horizon development by having AI models compete in a tournament, continuously improving their own codebases in response to competitive pressure from other models.
When AI models achieve superhuman performance on specific benchmarks like coding challenges, it doesn't solve real-world problems. This is because we implicitly optimize for the benchmark itself, creating "peaky" performance rather than broad, generalizable intelligence.
Static benchmarks are easily gamed. Dynamic environments like the game Diplomacy force models to negotiate, strategize, and even lie, offering a richer, more realistic evaluation of their capabilities beyond pure performance metrics like reasoning or coding.
Unlike mature tech products with annual releases, the AI model landscape is in a constant state of flux. Companies are incentivized to launch new versions immediately to claim the top spot on performance benchmarks, leading to a frenetic and unpredictable release schedule rather than a stable cadence.
Early benchmark improvements focused on adding more languages and repositories. Now, the cutting edge involves creating more difficult evaluation splits through sophisticated curation techniques. Researchers must justify why their new benchmark is qualitatively harder, not just broader, than existing ones.
Traditional AI benchmarks are seen as increasingly incremental and less interesting. The new frontier for evaluating a model's true capability lies in applied, complex tasks that mimic real-world interaction, such as building in Minecraft (MC Bench) or managing a simulated business (VendingBench), which are more revealing of raw intelligence.
To improve the quality and accuracy of an AI agent's output, spawn multiple sub-agents with competing or adversarial roles. For example, a code review agent finds bugs, while several "auditor" agents check for false positives, resulting in a more reliable final analysis.
As reinforcement learning (RL) techniques mature, the core challenge shifts from the algorithm to the problem definition. The competitive moat for AI companies will be their ability to create high-fidelity environments and benchmarks that accurately represent complex, real-world tasks, effectively teaching the AI what matters.
Traditional, static benchmarks for AI models go stale almost immediately. The superior approach is creating dynamic benchmarks that update constantly based on real-world usage and user preferences, which can then be turned into products themselves, like an auto-routing API.
An analysis of AI model performance shows a 2-2.5x improvement in intelligence scores across all major players within the last year. This rapid advancement is leading to near-perfect scores on existing benchmarks, indicating a need for new, more challenging tests to measure future progress.
Standardized AI benchmarks are saturated and becoming less relevant for real-world use cases. The true measure of a model's improvement is now found in custom, internal evaluations (evals) created by application-layer companies. Progress for a legal AI tool, for example, is a more meaningful indicator than a generic test score.